Sunday, Feb 8th — Late
Bye Week:
49ers
Bears
Bengals
Bills
Broncos
Browns
Buccaneers
Cardinals
Chargers
Chiefs
Colts
Commanders
Cowboys
Dolphins
Eagles
Falcons
Giants
Jaguars
Jets
Lions
Packers
Panthers
Raiders
Rams
Ravens
Saints
Steelers
Texans
Titans
Vikings

Willing To Lose 16.25

Larejo is a mid-stakes tournament mastermind who specializes in outmaneuvering 150-max players with a small number of entries

Well, if you’re buying high this week after last week hit the nuts, I have bad news for you. It’s highly unlikely this article this week will produce similar results. Why, do you ask? Because changing your process before or after a barbell result is foolish. Tempting, but foolish. I’ve been writing Willing to Lose for five seasons now, and depending on the structure of the article, it’s almost always going to be +EV to take some of what I put forward and put that in play. Some, not all, of the suggested strategies. Just like JM and Mike’s Player Grids. Just like Hilow’s End Around, Papy’s Process, Sonic’s MME pool, and every other article on this very great site. Sifting through content to find what resonates with you is the way to build lineups that win. Some people learn by doing the research themselves, while others are better at interpreting the data points and going from there. Everyone, including you, has their own style. In building lineups, in entering contests, and in competing in DFS. So here’s the thing I learned last week (really before last week, but it hit home moreso last Sunday). If you are playing large-field GPPs and you want to have success, you must build differently.

Small-field play is a different animal. Large-field play, however, it’s valuable to be different. There’s really no “wrong door” in those contests because if you believe in a crazy strategy, as I did with “team stacks,” as long as you have the story to support it, then why can’t it win? You rarely want to build in such a thin way in this unique way of thinking (not embracing any chalk, not targeting popular game environments), but as usual, you can strike oil when you are balancing the right mix of an outcome that can happen, but in a rare way. For anyone who did win last week by deploying the Jags + Lions stack written about here, you’re a real one! I hope you did so because you felt like you could see that same situation paying off, and in a major way. And I have to say it’s really cool when those underowned outcomes come to fruition. I haven’t landed yet on what and where I’ll play this week, but some situations are jumping out. So with that, onwards we go to Week 16…

Baker Mayfield + Mike Evans + Emeka Egbuka + Jalen Coker 

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