Kickoff Sunday, Jan 9th 1:00pm Eastern

WFT (
21) at

Giants (
15)

Over/Under 36.0

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Notes

Key Matchups
Commanders Run D
16th DVOA/23rd Yards allowed per carry
Giants Run O
31st DVOA/15th Yards per carry
Commanders Pass D
32nd DVOA/31st Yards allowed per pass
Giants Pass O
30th DVOA/30th Yards per pass
Giants Run D
29th DVOA/30th Yards allowed per carry
Commanders Run O
16th DVOA/7th Yards per carry
Giants Pass D
19th DVOA/26th Yards allowed per pass
Commanders Pass O
27th DVOA/27th Yards per pass

Game Overview ::

By papy324 >>
  • The Giants backfield is a timeshare.
  • Jaret Patterson is likely to compliment Antonio Gibson.
  • Both team’s passing attacks are a mess.
  • There isn’t a lot to like for DFS in this game.

How washington Will Try To Win ::

The 6-10 Football Team comes into this game completing another disappointing campaign, coming off four straight division losses, including a 56-14 drubbing by the hated Cowboys. The WFT have talented pieces but when Ryan Fitzpatrick went down early in the year this team was doomed to another tough season. Ron Rivera is among the coaches that must be nervous about their job, giving him an incentive to win this game. Win or lose, it might not be enough to get Rivera another season in Washington. 

The Football Team has become a slow-paced side (19th in situational neutral pace) that doesn’t speed up when losing (30th in pace when trailing), making them a team that sucks the life out of games. The Giants defense has been below average against the pass (17th in DVOA) and poor against the run (29th in DVOA) presenting as a mini-run funnel but also as a defense that is weak no matter how you choose to attack. Rivera is adaptable and likely to attack the Giants run defense rather than turning things over to his shaky QB. Expect the Football Team to try and win with a run balanced approach if they are ahead on the scoreboard.   

How new york Will Try To Win ::

The 4-12 Giants are polishing off one of the worst seasons in recent memory. They lost star RB multiple times throughout the year to lower bodies injuries, had every manner of misfortune befall their WR group, were reminded that their TE isn’t good at football, fired their offensive coordinator mid-season, and lost their starting QB to a mysterious neck injury that seems to be getting worse. All of this behind an offensive line that desperately needs an overhaul, and a defense that can’t stop anyone. The Giants are a mess.

The Football Team’s defense has been weak against the pass (28th in DVOA) and solid against the run (10th in DVOA). The Football Team has been attackable through the air, but the Giants set up exceedingly poorly to take advantage of their opponent’s weaknesses. Jake Fromm is expected to start and Joe Judge might as well throw caution into the wind letting Fromm try to exploit the Football Team’s poor secondary. The Giants have had no continuity in their offensive play calling or personnel the past two months, which has led to point totals of 10/13/9/21/6/10/3 in their past seven games. The G-men are averaging a sorry 10.2 points per game during that stretch.  Expect the Giants to try and pass, but ultimately fail offensively.

Likeliest Game Flow :: 

This game has a comically low total (38) because this game is quite possibly a pairing of the two worst offenses in the league. You can’t expect either team to score many points, even though both defenses are also weak. Washington is still the better side since the Giants are in total shambles. The most likely game flow has the Football Team successfully being able to play “hide the QB,” riding their defense and running game to a sloppy low-scoring victory.


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DFS+ Interpretation ::