Kickoff Sunday, Sep 8th 8:20pm Eastern

Steelers (
21.75) at

Patriots (

Over/Under 49.0


Key Matchups
Steelers Run D
15th DVOA/17th Yards allowed per carry
Patriots Run O
17th DVOA/20th Yards per carry
Steelers Pass D
7th DVOA/18th Yards allowed per pass
Patriots Pass O
6th DVOA/5th Yards per pass
Patriots Run D
3rd DVOA/3rd Yards allowed per carry
Steelers Run O
26th DVOA/28th Yards per carry
Patriots Pass D
2nd DVOA/2nd Yards allowed per pass
Steelers Pass O
23rd DVOA/28th Yards per pass

Showdown Slant ::
Presented by top Showdown mind Xandamere!
— access Xandamere's "Mastering Showdowns" course here!
(highly recommended; the data work is stunning!)
The first Sunday Night Football matchup of the 2019 season has the Steelers visiting the Patriots, with a healthy game total of 51 and the Pats 5.5 point favorites at home. The Steelers’ total looks low at first glance, but after really digging into this game I think it’s a pretty reasonable number, as Pittsburgh is likely to struggle to consistently move the ball in this one (especially if, or when, they fall behind).  . . .

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