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Relative Value Breakdown 2.22

Dwprix is a research expert at OWS, with focuses on NFL Edge Matchups and the Relative Value Breakdown

Better Play on Draftkings or Fanduel?

There are several things we can look at to figure out if a player is a better value on Draftkings vs Fanduel. This is important because we may want to roster a certain player but might be unsure where our money would be best spent rostering them. 

One exercise we can do is compare the amount of salary that’s needed to roster a player on Draftkings vs the salary needed to roster the same player on FanDuel. This is done by dividing the salary on one site by the total amount of salary allowed to build your roster (DK $50k, FD $60k). Then we can take the percentage of the total salary on one site and subtract it from the percentage of total salary on the other site. We can also look at the scoring rule differences and what type of player would be best suited for that particular site. Lastly, we can check how the player’s points-per-dollar value based on their average in recent games compared to their salary in a given week.

The goal of the article is not to give you picks but to show you how to recognize these values on your own. Each week I’ll break down a few players and give you some quick hitters that you can explore further.

WEEK 2:

Cooper Kupp: FD $9.7k, 16.7% // DK $9.9k, 19.8% // Value on FD

TDs are more valuable than on Fanduel because there’s no 100 yard bonus and receptions are worth less. Kupp’s scored at least one TD in seven straight games and had seven games with two TDs last season. His salary on Fanduel takes up 3.1% less than on Draftkings.

Diontae Johnson: FD $7.1k, 11.8% // DK $5.8K 11.6% // Value on DK

Diontae is 0.2% cheaper on Draftkings where targets have more value. He averaged the 2nd most targets last season (10.6) and followed that up with 12 last week. His price went down on Draftkings $200 but went up to $400 on Fanduel.

Russell Wilson: FD $7.5k, 12.5% // DK $7.2k, 14.4% // Value on FD

Wilson is the 3rd highest priced QB on DK but tied for the 7th highest on FD. He takes up 1.9% less salary on Fanduel. Other QBs in the same price range take up more salary on Fanduel: Wentz 0.74%, Lance 1.1%, Stafford .07%.

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