You know the feeling. It’s why you’re here. That glorious, often maddening, weekly riddle that consumes us right up to kickoff: WHO DO I START? The impact? The difference between mess-talking victory and soul-sucking defeat. And we all want that “edge,” don’t we? That little nugget of info that pats us on our tushies and tells us everything will be all good. A gentle nudge, if you will. I want you to know that I’m here each week to pat your tushies (figuratively). To give you my two cents on who needs to be touching grass and who needs to be riding pine. And why.
This is your nudge. *pats tushie* Now, let’s get this ‘W’.
WEEK 9 RECEIPTS
I went 10-6 on a rough week for my RB calls (1-3), but solid 9-3 across the other spots. TEs were especially spot on, as I called the Bowers-fest and gave you solid reasoning to get the rookie Colston Loveland into your lineups (though a big miss on the Kincaid sit). Can’t win ‘em all.
On the season, I’m banking 80-64 (55.6%). That percentage is climbing, friends.
MY WEEK 10 PLAYS AND FADES
QUARTERBACKS
Start: Daniel Jones (IND v. ATL) He gets a clean, get-in-rhythm script with layups early that turn into chunk gains. Stack juice is real with Downs, and the red zone play action is ready to cash.
Start: Jared Goff (DET @ WAS) Play action to the moon and quick game precision keeps chains moving all afternoon. Indoors, arm talent with a full route tree of answers is fantasy comfort food.
Sit: Trevor Lawrence (JAC @ HOU) Houston squeezes windows and forces long drives that stall out for three instead of six. Houston’s pressure plus disguised coverage is a turnover invitation you do not need this week.
Sit: Jordan Love (GB v. PHI) Philadelphia’s front narrows the pocket, and the middle closes fast on late throws. With no Tucker Kraft, the script tilts conservative, and the ceiling hides.
RUNNING BACKS
Start: Kyle Monangai (CHI v. NYG) He looks like the best back on the roster, and the tape screams fresh legs. He draws the softest rush matchup on the slate, and that means volume with scoring chances.
Start: Rico Dowdle (CAR v. NO) Chuba who? And why are we still asking? Rico looks like a top ten ROS play, and he eats in this spot with power runs and screens.
Sit: Alvin Kamara (NO @ CAR) Quarterback chaos is crushing backfield value, and the red zone rhythm is off. If the game tilts weird again, the routes turn empty and the fantasy floor shakes.
Sit: Woody Marks (HOU v. JAC) Role volatility plus a stingy opponent is not the cocktail you want. Save the headache and chase cleaner touches elsewhere.
WIDE RECEIVERS
Start: Jaylen Waddle (MIA v. BUF) If he is still a Dolphin this is a fireworks total, and he surfs it with speed. Space equals YAC, and Miami will manufacture it on purpose.
Start: Josh Downs (IND v. ATL) Hunch cal,l and it feels like the right guy in the right week. Stack him with Jones and ride the slot volume.
Sit: Jerry Jeudy (CLE @ NYJ) Nope because the matchup invites a quiet day on the perimeter. Maybe when Shedeur gets a shot, but not until then and definitely in this one.
Sit: Brian Thomas Jr. (JAX @ HOU) This is my weekly “make me regret it” slot, but the injury cloud is also real. If he even suits up, the rhythm he had as a rookie is just off.
TIGHT ENDS
Start: Dallas Goedert (PHI @ GB) Green Bay’s safeties squeeze outside shots, which funnels work to the middle. Play action leaks and option routes give him a steady floor with a spike shot at the stripe.
Start: Dalton Kincaid (BUF @ MIA) Hot hand in a huge total and that is easy math. He looks like Josh Allen’s number one option and the trust shows up when it matters.
Sit: Zach Ertz (WAS v. DET) The role is light on juice and the pecking order in the red zone does him no favors. Maybe he gets a bump with Mariota, but I’m chasing a higher floor somewhere else.
Sit: Mason Taylor (NYJ v. CLE) Low-volume offense meets a defense that erases tight ends with length. Routes will be cardio and the scoreboard will not care.
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