Thursday, Sep 5th
Monday, Sep 9th

Expected Volume

Once I have a number of expected plays for each team, my next step is to distribute those plays among their offense. The first step here is look at the team’s run vs. pass play percentage to figure out how many rushing plays they’re expected to run versus how many passing plays (note from JM :: Team Rankings is a great free resource for team passing play percentage). From there, you can look at market share data to get an expected number of carries for the primary running back and targets for the receivers. For Showdown DFS purposes I . . .

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