Sunday, Feb 9th — Late
Bye Week:
49ers
Bears
Bengals
Bills
Broncos
Browns
Buccaneers
Cardinals
Chargers
Colts
Commanders
Cowboys
Dolphins
Falcons
Giants
Jaguars
Jets
Lions
Packers
Panthers
Patriots
Raiders
Rams
Ravens
Saints
Seahawks
Titans
Vikings
Steelers
Texans

Adjust For Defensive Matchup

While Vegas odds take offensive and defensive matchups into account at a high level, they don’t take into account individual matchups very well, and thus they don’t tend to be well-reflected in prop bets. My starting point here is looking at DVOA, which adjusts defensive rankings based on the quality of a team’s offensive opponents (and can be found at the top of each NFL Edge game). This will give you a good idea of how, at least in a neutral game situation, an offense is likely to attack a defense. The simple of way of . . .

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