Kickoff Sunday, Oct 15th 1:00pm Eastern

Saints (
22.25) at

Texans (

Over/Under 42.5


Key Matchups
Saints Run D
22nd DVOA/27th Yards allowed per carry
Texans Run O
27th DVOA/29th Yards per carry
Saints Pass D
11th DVOA/20th Yards allowed per pass
Texans Pass O
3rd DVOA/2nd Yards per pass
Texans Run D
10th DVOA/3rd Yards allowed per carry
Saints Run O
10th DVOA/28th Yards per carry
Texans Pass D
26th DVOA/25th Yards allowed per pass
Saints Pass O
22nd DVOA/21st Yards per pass

Game Overview ::

By papy324 >>
  • Dameon Pierce is underpriced for his role 
  • Nico Collins is underpriced for his role 
  • Robert Woods has seen 40 targets through five weeks 
  • Alvin Kamara is the engine of the Saints offense 
  • Derek Carr looked healthier last week 
  • The Saints defense runs a complex scheme that could confuse C.J Stroud 

How new orleans Will Try To Win ::

The 3-2 Saints come into Week 6 off a dominant 34-0 performance on the road against the Patriots. The 34 points against an injured but still quality defense looks like an offensive explosion, but the Saints defense dominated the game. The Saints defense generated a pick-six and two sacks, but more than anything, they didn’t let the Patriots get first downs. The Pats finished with a puny 156 total yards. The Saints defense isn’t elite at anything but is good at everything. Dennis Allen comes from the defensive side of the ball, and it makes sense that his team would take on a “win on defense” mindset, which is exactly how this team is trying to get it done on Sundays.

The Saints season-long outlook was improved when Derrick Carr, albeit on only 26 attempts, looked much healthier than the previous week. They have played up-tempo, pass-leaning football when everyone is healthy and the game is close. However, they are trying to win on the defensive side of the ball. Their pass attempt totals of 26//39//34//37//33 are interesting compared to the game script. The 26 attempts came in a lopsided win, the 39 attempts came in a lopsided loss, and the moderate attempt totals came in one-score games. The Saints are a game-flow-dependent team willing to pass but would rather throw under 35 times and play good defense. The “run funnel” Texans are one of the most obvious spots to attack on the ground. “Run funnel” is in quotes because after getting trampled on the ground to start the year, the Texans held the vaunted Falcons RBs to 86 yards on 32 carries. A stunning 2.7 YPC. The Saint offensive line has been poor overall (22nd ranked per PFF) but played well last week, highlighted by Erik McCoy’s highest grade among all offensive linemen. Is this a weakness-on-weakness or strength-on-strength matchup? Pete Carmichael Jr. isn’t likely to care. He runs a bland offense that uses play-action and pre-snap motion at some of the lowest rates in the league. He isn’t the type of offensive coordinator to adjust for specific opponents, and it’s reasonable to expect another game of moderately leaning pass rates while hoping the defense can be dominant.

How houston Will Try To Win ::

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