Game Overview ::
By mike johnson >>
- The Jets look to ride their recent momentum for a critical game as they head into their bye week.
- Zach Wilson is going to need to make some plays for the Jets to have a shot in this game.
- Philadelphia’s offense has struggled in the red zone, while New York’s defense has excelled in the same area.
- Both teams rely heavily on their running game, and the Eagles are unlikely to take unnecessary risks early in the game
- Wilson’s passing grade and quarterback rating is actually OK when he has time to throw but atrocious when he’s pressured – the Eagles rank 6th in the league in QB pressure rate.
How philadelphia Will Try To Win ::
The Eagles offense ranks 29th in the NFL in situation-neutral pass rate as they continue to rely on the legs of Jalen Hurts and have turned to D’Andre Swift in a featured role. The Eagles have arguably the top offensive line in the league and are 5-0 to start the year, so it’s hard to blame them for that approach. Philadelphia’s offense has taken a step back, however, at turning its offensive production into points this year. After ranking No. 3 in the NFL in red-zone TD conversion rate in 2022 at 68%, they rank 27th in the NFL this season at just 42.11%. The Jets actually face the most field-goal attempts per game this year, as their offense has given up a lot of short fields but their defense has held strong in scoring position.
The Jets play man coverage at a top-10 rate in the league, and they have a great deal of trust in star cornerback Sauce Gardner on the perimeter. They also blitz at the fifth-lowest rate in the NFL, as they trust their defensive front to get pressure and their personnel to handle their matchups in the secondary. The Eagles struggled last week against a Rams team that has a similar approach of blitzing at a very low rate. The Rams, however, primarily play zone coverage and the Jets man scheme may allow the Eagles to break free for some scores. The Eagles are unlikely to fall behind in this matchup, or at least not to the point where they would need to panic, and the lack of fear Wilson puts in his opponent is unlikely to shake the Eagles off their relatively conservative playcalling split. Obviously, the Eagles have the personnel to have an explosion in any week, but the expected game script and opponent here make it unlikely that they force the issue, which means it will take Jets mistakes to let Philly break off big plays. Considering the conservative, non-blitzing nature of the Jets scheme and the fact that Philadelphia can realistically count on giving Wilson plenty of opportunities to panic against its defensive pressure, the Eagles are likely entering this game expecting a slightly less competitive version of their win over the Rams in Week 5. They should take control of the game eventually, but they won’t need to press the gas to do so.