Kickoff Sunday, Nov 12th 4:25pm Eastern

Giants (
10.75) at

Cowboys (
28.25)

Over/Under 39.0

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Notes

Key Matchups
Giants Run D
29th DVOA/30th Yards allowed per carry
Cowboys Run O
15th DVOA/19th Yards per carry
Giants Pass D
19th DVOA/26th Yards allowed per pass
Cowboys Pass O
11th DVOA/14th Yards per pass
Cowboys Run D
9th DVOA/17th Yards allowed per carry
Giants Run O
31st DVOA/15th Yards per carry
Cowboys Pass D
6th DVOA/25th Yards allowed per pass
Giants Pass O
30th DVOA/30th Yards per pass

GAME OVERVIEW ::

BY mike johnson >>
  • The Giants enter this game with one of the lowest implied team totals you will ever see in the modern NFL.
  • New York will be without both Daniel Jones and Tyrod Taylor, leaving rookie Tommy DeVito as their likely starting quarterback. DeVito has played the majority of the last two games and has taken almost half as many sacks as he has completed passes.
  • The Cowboys are coming off a heartbreaking loss to the Eagles where they showed both their elite talent and ability to contend, as well as their continued inability to finish the job.
  • It will be hard to find a bigger mismatch than the Cowboys pass rush against the Giants offensive line.
  • Dak Prescott has been on fire lately, but it is unclear what kind of offensive game plan the Cowboys will take against such a futile opponent, as well as how quickly the game script could get out of hand.

How NEW york Will Try To Win ::

The Giants are downright bad. After a year of overachieving and everything seeming to break their way, New York has had just about everything go off the rails in 2023. There was a slight glimmer of hope coming into last week as New York finally had Jones and Barkley healthy together and appeared to have most of the hard part of their schedule behind them. The football gods had other plans, however, as Jones suffered a devastating ACL tear in the first half of the game and the Giants got steamrolled by the rejuvenated Raiders. Week 9 marked the second consecutive game where the Giants lost their starting quarterback due to injury and brought in the rookie DeVito in relief. In both appearances, the Giants were putrid on offense and barely able to move the ball. The Giants did get a little bit of “garbage time” production against the Raiders once the outcome was already decided, but there is not a lot of room for optimism here on New York’s side of the ball.

The Giants have announced that DeVito will start in Week 10, which theoretically is a little bit better for his odds of success since he will get all the first-team reps and be more prepared. Unfortunately, the Giants face a ferocious Dallas pass rush that has made a living teeing off on inferior opponents this season. The Cowboys have played three home games this season, all against teams that are currently .500 or worse, and won those games by an average of 26 points. The Giants have achieved the rare feat of ranking dead last in the NFL in both rushing offense DVOA and passing offense DVOA. Their third-string quarterback is now under center, while their offensive line is still not performing well. The Giants rank 27th in the NFL in Pass Rate Over Expectation (PROE) but are likely to be the most run-heavy team in the league this week for as long as they can. The Cowboys run defense has been above average this season and is especially strong against lower-tier opponents. The Giants will almost certainly give the ball to Barkley on the majority of their plays and hope a conservative approach and good defensive game plan can bring the Cowboys down to their level.

HOW DALLAS WILL TRY TO WIN ::

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