Kickoff Sunday, Nov 12th 1:00pm Eastern

Packers (
17.75) at

Steelers (

Over/Under 38.5


Key Matchups
Packers Run D
19th DVOA/23rd Yards allowed per carry
Steelers Run O
8th DVOA/13th Yards per carry
Packers Pass D
17th DVOA/15th Yards allowed per pass
Steelers Pass O
12th DVOA/24th Yards per pass
Steelers Run D
14th DVOA/22nd Yards allowed per carry
Packers Run O
25th DVOA/20th Yards per carry
Steelers Pass D
7th DVOA/30th Yards allowed per pass
Packers Pass O
10th DVOA/5th Yards per pass

Game Overview ::

By papy324 >>
  • This game pairs two of the league’s worst offensive schemes and most questionable quarterbacks.  
  • Neither of these teams has been able to move the ball until the 4th quarter when both offenses tend to wake up. 
  • Everyone is cheap on both sides, including Dionte Johnson ($5,400), George Pickens ($5,100), and Christian Watson ($4,900), who all have price-considered upside. 
  • Pickens looked upset last week after DJ scored the go-ahead touchdown and deleted all mention of the Steelers on his social media. 
  • Both backfields are timeshares. 
  • This most likely outcome is a low-scoring game full of punts 

How green bay Will Try To Win ::

The 3-5 Packers come into Week 10 on the outside, looking in at a quickly forming NFC playoff picture. They’re 3.5 games back from the Lions in the NFC North and 1.5 games back (plus the tiebreaker) of the Vikings for the final wildcard spot. This game feels like a must-win for the Packers to keep their season alive. Matt LaFleur’s offense has looked lost most of the year. Whether that’s the coach’s or the quarterbacks’ fault is up for debate, but the results have been poor, with the Packers ranking in the bottom ten in points scored. The Packers play with above-average tempo (12th ranked in pace of play), but last week, they played 90s football, calling run pass splits of 38/26.  It’s easy to write that off due to game script, and part of it was due to the Rams inability to move the ball, but if you watched the game, the Packers plan was to run from the start. They were never forced out of that approach, leading to the lopsided run/pass splits. The Packers are 16th in PROE, and 13th in pass rate, which means they’re typically more balanced. There is a chance their run-heavy approach was just a one-week anomaly, but there is also a chance the coaching staff has lost confidence in Jordan Love. 

The Steelers defense has been middling against the run (16th in DVOA) and strong against the pass (7th in DVOA). Although the Steelers season ranking against the run is middle of the road, they got run-stuffing DE Cam Heyward back from the IR last week. Heyward immediately registered six tackles, including one for a loss. The Packers offensive line has been middling (15th ranked by PFF), but they’ve been a better pass-blocking unit, led by the excellent protection of LG Elgton Jenkins and RT Zach Tom. Tom ranks in the top five right tackles in QB sacks plus hits allowed but will be put to the test by Steelers LOLB T.J. Watt. Steelers’ FS Minkah Fitzpatrick looks to be on the wrong side of questionable, but his loss is somewhat mitigated by the emergence of rookie CB Joey Porter Jr. Porter didn’t see significant snaps until Week 7, but he played 95% of the snaps last week and has put up the 15th best coverage grade in the league. The Steelers defense is good and trending up, even with Minkah probably out one more week. Without an obvious weakness to attack, the Packers are likely to come out with their usual balanced game plan, with a better chance that they test things on the ground first to try and hide Love.

How pittsburgh Will Try To Win ::

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