Kickoff Sunday, Dec 4th 4:05pm Eastern

Dolphins (
20.25) at

49ers (

Over/Under 45.5


Key Matchups
Dolphins Run D
21st DVOA/8th Yards allowed per carry
49ers Run O
2nd DVOA/4th Yards per carry
Dolphins Pass D
18th DVOA/12th Yards allowed per pass
49ers Pass O
1st DVOA/1st Yards per pass
49ers Run D
15th DVOA/18th Yards allowed per carry
Dolphins Run O
3rd DVOA/1st Yards per carry
49ers Pass D
4th DVOA/3rd Yards allowed per pass
Dolphins Pass O
2nd DVOA/2nd Yards per pass

Game Overview ::

By mike johnson >>
  • Miami is likely to lean into their elite passing game and avoid the 49ers dominant run defense as often as possible.
  • San Francisco’s offense may also have to lean more on the pass than usual due to injuries to their running backs and a strong Miami run defense.
  • This game has explosive players on both sides, along with defenses that are stout against the run but exploitable in the secondary.
  • We likely need the Miami offense to have early success in order for this game to truly be pushed.

How miami Will Try To Win ::

In their Week 12 win over the Texans, the Dolphins were up 30-0 at halftime. At that point, they had called pass plays on 35 of 43 offensive plays (81%) despite the fact that the Texans entered the game ranked bottom-3 in the NFL against the run by pretty much any metric you can find. Over the last five weeks (since Tua Tagovailoa returned from injury), the Dolphins rank 4th in the NFL in Pass Rate Over Expectation (PROE). This week, the Dolphins face a 49ers defense that ranks top-5 in the league against the run by any metric and who head coach Mike McDaniel knows very well from his time as the offensive coordinator in San Francisco. McDaniel has shown this season that he does two things extremely well. First, he plays to his player’s/team’s strengths and puts them in a position to succeed. Second, he is aggressive and has an attacking mindset trying to build and grow leads rather than slowing down after early success. The 49ers have faced exactly one high-level offense with explosive pieces and a good quarterback, and that was Week 7 against the Chiefs, who dropped 42 points and 423 passing yards on them. We know McDaniel has it in him to say forget it and just throw it every play, so don’t be surprised if/when that happens this week.

How san francisco Will Try To Win ::

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