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Bills @ Patriots

DFS Showdown Strategy

By: Xandamere


Outlook

The way this game is likeliest to play out is relatively lower scoring (at least for these two teams), as the elite defenses slow things down and cause stalled-out drives, but whenever you have teams that are really good on both sides of the ball, that creates an opportunity for the game to swing in multiple directions. For either team, we could see either the offense show up or the defense “show up,” or we could see both happen.  

Potential Scenarios
  • Both offenses show up, but both defenses don’t, leading to a 50+ point shootout, which would really “only” be matching the average offensive performance of these teams on the season
  • Both defenses show up, but both offenses don’t, leading to something like a mid-30s outcome, which would “only” be matching the average defensive performance of these teams on the season
  • One team curb-stomps the other. This is unlikely, to me, given how much offensive talent we have on these teams but Buffalo still seems to have some lingering concerns about Josh Allen’s elbow injury. While the Patriots are a creative offense that generally finds a way to put points on the board, they do have three games this season of 14 or fewer points
Cash Games

In cash, my player pool is looking something like Allen, Rhamondre, the kickers, Singletary, and Meyers as my favorite plays. Jones is also fine if he fits (QB floors are always good, but the matchup is just awful for him), while it seems very tough to afford Diggs unless you want to punt at captain. 

Tournaments

In tournaments, my favorite captains are Rhamondre, Diggs, Knox, and Meyers in that order. 


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