Papy is a full-time DFS player, with a focus on high-stakes tourneys, and with hundreds of thousands in lifetime profit
Welcome to Week 6 DFS! This week features a lack of high total games. The two slate toppers are CAR // MIA (47.5) and ARZ // LAR (48.5), both of which feature a team that is favored by over a touchdown. The highest total projected competitive game SEA // CIN (45) comes in third and is expected to draw significant ownership. This week is going to feature a lot of fragile chalk. However, what really defines this week isn’t the lack of high total game environments, it’s injuries as all of James Conner, Justin Jefferson, Devin Achane, Jeff Wilson Jr., Kahlil Herbert, Roschon Johnson, Travis Homer, Zay Jones, Jahmyr Gibbs, Miles Sanders, Anthony Richardson, and Deshaun Watson are all expected to miss this week. Their absence opens an opportunity for a plethora of mispriced guys who can all factor into lineups. With that in mind, let’s get to this week’s pieces!
There is no one else left in the Bears backfield. After being brought in as a free agent (one year, two million), and being draft around pick 165 in Best Ball drafts, D’Onta Foreman has been a surprisingly healthy inactive the last four weeks. Expected to compete for touches, and even the favorite to win a goal line role, Foreman clearly fell out of favor with the coaching staff. Cue injuries to Kahlil Herbert, Roschon Johnson, and Travis Hosmer, and Foreman is currently the only healthy back on the Bears roster other than Khari Blasingame (a blocking fullback) and Robert Burns who is a practice squad player. Foreman is in line for 20 touches because the ball must go somewhere, and that kind of volume, in a good matchup, can’t be ignored at near min price.
IND // JAX is a great game environment and I debated recommending Trevor Lawrence, Christian Kirk, Calvin Ridley, and Josh Downs in one of these spaces. Ultimately, Engram made the cut as the absence of Zay Jones and a heavy zone scheme from the Colts put the mispriced-for-PPR tight end over the top. Engram has seen eight targets per game the past four weeks and feels like a lock to produce 10 DK points with Zay set to miss this game. Engram still hasn’t found the end zone this year, and whatever game he ends up scoring, he’ll be an incredibly valuable play. This week is as good a bet as any that Engram finds the end zone. He’s an upside piece, with a safe floor.
