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Sunday, Jan 29th — Late
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Milly Maker Anatomy – Recent Data

Winning Rosters 2021

  • The winning rosters over the 18-week regular season scored an average of 229.76 fantasy points in 2021.
  • Only four times did the winning roster contain a “standard DFS correlation” of a quarterback plus a pass-catcher and one correlation (22.2%).
  • The highest occurrence of a single roster construction on winning rosters was a quarterback with a pass-catcher and no correlation (five times, 27.8%).
  • Running back was utilized in the FLEX position six of 18 times (33%).
  • Tight end was utilized in the FLEX position two of 18 times (11.1%).
  • A naked quarterback with no correlation was never utilized on a winning roster.
  • Three different roster constructions appeared on the winning roster but never on the optimal roster:
    • QB + RB + pass-catcher with no correlation (three times);
    • QB + RB + two pass-catchers + correlation (once);
    • QB + two pass-catchers + no correlation (three times).
  • Only once was a running back ever correlated with his defense on the winning roster (5.5%).
  • Over-stacks (a quarterback + two pass-catchers) were utilized four times on winning rosters, and only once did it involve a correlation (22.2%, 5.5%).
  • Only six of 18 rosters utilized a quarterback priced at $6,000 or below (33.3%).
  • 5.75, 6.7, 5.9, 5.8, 5.75, 6.5, 5.85, 5.15, 5.77, 4.57 (!!!), 6.77, 6.7, 4.85, 5.4, 5.8, 5.57, 5.47, 6.05. Those were the average running back salary allocations, in thousands.
  • A roster contained one player priced at $7,000 or above on eight separate occasions, by far the most frequent outlier salary allocation.
  • Only three times did a running back priced at $7,000 or higher appear on the winning roster, and only once did it contain two backs priced at $7,000 or higher (16.7%).
  • The average salary allocated to the tight end position on winning rosters was $4,833.

Optimal Rosters 2021

  • The optimal rosters over the 18-week regular season scored an average of 270.05 fantasy points in 2021.
  • Only once did the optimal roster contain a “standard DFS correlation” of a quarterback plus a pass-catcher and one correlation (5.5%).
  • By far the highest occurrence of a single roster construction on optimal rosters was a quarterback with a pass-catcher and no correlation (seven times, 38.9%).
  • Running back was utilized in the FLEX position four of 18 times (22.2%).
  • Tight end was utilized in the FLEX position two of 18 times (the same two weeks as it was found on the winning roster (11.1%).
  • A naked quarterback with no correlation was found on the optimal roster four times (22.2%).
  • Three roster constructions were found on the optimal but never on the winning roster:
    • Naked QB with no correlation (four times);
    • QB + RB + correlation (once)
    • QB + pass-catcher + no correlation + defense (once).
  • RB correlated with his defense was never part of the optimal roster.
  • Only once was an over-stack present on the optimal roster, and it involved no correlation (5.5%).
  • Seven of 18 optimal rosters contained quarterbacks priced at $6,000 or below (38.9%), with the average quarterback salary allocation amongst optimal roster landing at $6,470. This was down from $6,900 in 2020.
  • Average running back salary allocation on optimal rosters: 6.4, 5.75, 5.07, 4.5, 4.7, 4.95, 6.56, 7.95, 5.8, 6.37, 5.9, 5.85, 5.75, 6.35, 6.3, 6.2, 6.8, 5.35.
  • Optimal rosters carried only one player priced at $7,000 or above 10 times, again, by far the most frequent outlier salary allocation.
  • “Stud’ running backs (priced at $7,000 or higher) appeared in the optimal roster six total times, with only one of those containing two stud backs (33.3%).
  • The average salary allocated to the tight-end position on optimal rosters was $4,450.
  • Defenses on optimal rosters cost an average of $2,890. 50% of rosters contained defenses priced between $3,000 and $3,600, with 11 of 18 rosters containing defenses priced between $2,700 and $3,600. Only once was a defense above $3,600 optimal. A defense priced at $2,500 or below made an appearance in the optimal roster six total times.

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