Kickoff Sunday, Sep 17th 4:25pm Eastern

Jets (
15) at

Cowboys (
23.5)

Over/Under 38.5

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Notes

Key Matchups
Jets Run D
14th DVOA/11th Yards allowed per carry
Cowboys Run O
15th DVOA/19th Yards per carry
Jets Pass D
3rd DVOA/7th Yards allowed per pass
Cowboys Pass O
11th DVOA/14th Yards per pass
Cowboys Run D
9th DVOA/17th Yards allowed per carry
Jets Run O
32nd DVOA/13th Yards per carry
Cowboys Pass D
6th DVOA/25th Yards allowed per pass
Jets Pass O
31st DVOA/31st Yards per pass

Game Overview ::

By mike johnson >>
  • It is hard to imagine two teams having more opposite results to begin their seasons than these two high profile organizations.
  • If Aaron Rodgers were playing, this game would have significantly higher scoring expectations.
  • Breece Hall and Dalvin Cook will likely have to carry the load for the Jets, whose offense is right back where it spent 2022.
  • This sets up as a defensive battle between two of the top units in the league.
  • Turnovers will likely drive the outcome of this game.

How new york Will Try To Win ::

The Jets had possibly the most bittersweet way to start a season on Monday night. Winning a nationally televised game in primetime with a walk-off, game-winning punt return touchdown is about as exciting as it gets for a regular season game. Despite that, the news of a torn Achilles tendon that ended the season and possibly the career of Aaron Rodgers has cast a dark shadow over the Jets organization. The Jets are now left trying to pick up the pieces on what was expected to be a year where they become contenders in the AFC. Given the state of the AFC and how many upper-echelon QBs are in the conference, the Jets are now left facing an uphill battle that seems destined to look very similar to 2022. 

In January of this year, if you asked a knowledgeable NFL fan what they thought the worst possible offensive play caller/QB combination in the league would be, they probably would have answered Nathaniel Hackett and Zach Wilson. We are now in store for 16 more games of exactly that. The Jets managed a paltry 140 passing yards in Week 1 and ran the ball on 55% of their offensive plays. This week against a ferocious Dallas defense, the Jets will undoubtedly use a similar approach and rely heavily on Breece Hall and Dalvin Cook. It seems highly unlikely that the Jets will put much on Zach Wilson’s plate in this matchup and should be prioritizing getting the ball out of his hands very quickly. The goal of these sections of the NFL Edge is to figure out the strategy of each team. There really isn’t a ton of nuance to get into on this side of the ball, however, as the approach seems very clear and predictable: rely heavily on the running game and hope the defense can give you a chance for something fluky to happen late in the game. There are some creative things that a team in this spot could do to take advantage of an aggressive Dallas defense such as draws, screens, and quick hitters. They could also use some play action and take some deep shots hoping to let their strong wide receivers make plays on the ball. Unfortunately, my faith in Nathaniel Hackett’s creativity is very low. Even when he had success in Green Bay, his concepts were very vanilla and straightforward, so a sudden burst of creativity in a short week seems unlikely. Long-term, the Jets may find ways to open things up, but their best (and possibly only) hope here is to bring the Cowboys down to their level offensively.

How dallas Will Try To Win ::

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