Rates & scoring
Projections can also be either robust or fragile based on how a player generates points. There are four primary ways that guys generate points: actual scoring, assists, rebounds, and stocks (steals + blocks). A player who gets most of his value via only one or two of those ways is going to be more fragile than a player who can contribute in all areas. It’s common to see guys who shoot and don’t do much else (think corner 3 types) project well, especially in injury situations — but a guy who is absolutely reliant on his shot . . .