Week 1 Matchups

Don't Play DFS At A Disadvantage

$99 buys you 12 months of access!

Join Now

Kickoff Thursday, Sep 10th 8:20pm Eastern

Texans (
22) at

Chiefs (
31.5)

Over/Under 53.5

Tweet
Notes

Key Matchups
Texans Run D
23rd DVOA/32nd Yards allowed per carry
Chiefs Run O
17th DVOA/6th Yards per carry
Texans Pass D
8th DVOA/21st Yards allowed per pass
Chiefs Pass O
1st DVOA/7th Yards per pass
Chiefs Run D
28th DVOA/30th Yards allowed per carry
Texans Run O
23rd DVOA/31st Yards per carry
Chiefs Pass D
2nd DVOA/3rd Yards allowed per pass
Texans Pass O
8th DVOA/3rd Yards per pass

Andy Reid in Week 1 as KC HC has gone 6-1, scoring 28, 10, 27, 33, 42, 38, 40Andy Reid is 4-2 vs Bill O’Brien with scores of 27-20, 30-0, 12-19, 42-34, 24-31, 51-31In Watson’s 3 games vs Andy Reid, the game totals have finished at 76, 55, & 82, and he is averaging 309.7 passing yards (41.7 att), 36.7 rushing yards, and has totaled 8 pass TDs, 3 rush TDs, & 2 INTsThis will be Watson’s first career game without Deandre Hopkins, someone he targeted . . .

Don't Have Access?

GRAB OWS FREE!

Free Week 7 ::
Angles Podcast || Most Of The NFL Edge


Kickoff Sunday, Sep 13th 1:00pm Eastern

Hawks (
24.25) at

Falcons (
25.25)

Over/Under 49.5

Tweet
Notes

Key Matchups
Seahawks Run D
9th DVOA/7th Yards allowed per carry
Falcons Run O
26th DVOA/19th Yards per carry
Seahawks Pass D
29th DVOA/32nd Yards allowed per pass
Falcons Pass O
16ths DVOA/2nd Yards per pass
Falcons Run D
8th DVOA/5th Yards allowed per carry
Seahawks Run O
8th DVOA/17th Yards per carry
Falcons Pass D
30th DVOA/31st Yards allowed per pass
Seahawks Pass O
3rd DVOA/4th Yards per pass

In 4 matchups, Carroll/Wilson are 2-2 vs Dan Quinn: (26-24), (20-36), (31-34), (27-20)Wilson is averaging 19.25 DK ppg over the four games, and has thrown for 2 TDs in each of the last three gamesIn the 3 of those 4 matchups Ryan played in, he averaged 23.25 DK ppg with 8 TD passesRyan is 5-2 vs Pete Carroll all-time, but just 3-2 vs Russell Wilson (1-2 reg, 2-0 playoffs)Ryan led the NFL is pass attempts/g in 2019 while ranking 4th in passing yds/gIn . . .

Don't Have Access?

GRAB OWS FREE!

Free Week 7 ::
Angles Podcast || Most Of The NFL Edge


Kickoff Sunday, Sep 13th 1:00pm Eastern

Browns (
20.25) at

Ravens (
27.25)

Over/Under 47.5

Tweet
Notes

Key Matchups
Browns Run D
20th DVOA/4th Yards allowed per carry
Ravens Run O
5th DVOA/3rd Yards per carry
Browns Pass D
19th DVOA/27th Yards allowed per pass
Ravens Pass O
19th DVOA/31st Yards per pass
Ravens Run D
2nd DVOA/12th Yards allowed per carry
Browns Run O
7th DVOA/1st Yards per carry
Ravens Pass D
7th DVOA/13th Yards allowed per pass
Browns Pass O
23rd DVOA/29th Yards per pass

Of BAL’s six games pre-Peters trade, five of them ranked in their bottom seven games of opponent points allowedBAL’s 10 regular season opponents following the trade averaged just 14.2 ppg and were quarterbacked by passers ranked by PFF as 1, 12, DNQ (3rd worst QB without snap minimum), 8, 20, 13, 30, 31, 18, 37The only WRs to clear 20 Dk pts in these 10 games were Sanu (24.1) and Crowder (27 in blowout loss)In 3 games drawing primary coverage from Marcus Peters in 2019, Odell produced 56 yds on 6 rec (9), 20 . . .

Don't Have Access?

GRAB OWS FREE!

Free Week 7 ::
Angles Podcast || Most Of The NFL Edge


Kickoff Sunday, Sep 13th 1:00pm Eastern

Jets (
16.5) at

Bills (
23)

Over/Under 39.5

Tweet
Notes

Key Matchups
Jets Run D
14th DVOA/20th Yards allowed per carry
Bills Run O
32nd DVOA/27th Yards per carry
Jets Pass D
31st DVOA/23rd Yards allowed per pass
Bills Pass O
4th DVOA/6th Yards per pass
Bills Run D
24th DVOA/25th Yards allowed per carry
Jets Run O
29th DVOA/21st Yards per carry
Bills Pass D
28th DVOA/24th Yards allowed per pass
Jets Pass O
30th DVOA/32nd Yards per pass

Excluding 2019 Wk 17 (BUF rested), McDermott is 4-1 vs Gase: 24-16, 22-16, 17-21, 42-17, 17-16In the 5 matchups, BUF’s Def averaged 3.75 sacks, 2 Forced Turnovers (7 INT, 3 FF), and 17.2 Points AllowedIn 4 non-W17 games (rested starters) vs top-5 pass efficiency defenses (BUF, NE, BAL, PIT), Darnold averaged 165.5yds, 1 TD, 2 TOs, 2 sacks for 9.93 DK ppgBUF ranked 5th in Pass Efficiency Def in 2019In those 4 games, Crowder produced 2 great scores (24.3, 27.0) and 2 duds (6.6 . . .

Don't Have Access?

GRAB OWS FREE!

Free Week 7 ::
Angles Podcast || Most Of The NFL Edge


Kickoff Sunday, Sep 13th 1:00pm Eastern

Raiders (
25.5) at

Panthers (
22.5)

Over/Under 48.0

Tweet
Notes

Key Matchups
Raiders Run D
31st DVOA/22nd Yards allowed per carry
Panthers Run O
16th DVOA/16th Yards per carry
Raiders Pass D
26th DVOA/25th Yards allowed per pass
Panthers Pass O
11th DVOA/9th Yards per pass
Panthers Run D
26th DVOA/18th Yards allowed per carry
Raiders Run O
24th DVOA/14th Yards per carry
Panthers Pass D
13th DVOA/7th Yards allowed per pass
Raiders Pass O
5th DVOA/5th Yards per pass

In the last 2 years, first-time head coaches in Week 1 are 1-10-1Jon Gruden is 5-8 in season openers for his career, and 2019 was the first time he won in his last 5 triesThe 2019 LV Def ranked 30th in Pass Efficiency Def and allowed each of these QBs to have their best fantasy game of the season (Mahomes, Daniel, Rodgers, Darnold) or top-3 fantasy game of the season (Brissett, Stafford, Tannehill)Teddy’s best game in 2019 (31.3 DK pts) came against a TB pass defense that had just allowed Cam, Jones . . .

Don't Have Access?

GRAB OWS FREE!

Free Week 7 ::
Angles Podcast || Most Of The NFL Edge


Kickoff Sunday, Sep 13th 1:00pm Eastern

Bears (
20) at

Lions (
22.5)

Over/Under 42.5

Tweet
Notes

Key Matchups
Bears Run D
11th DVOA/14th Yards allowed per carry
Lions Run O
13th DVOA/15th Yards per carry
Bears Pass D
2nd DVOA/10th Yards allowed per pass
Lions Pass O
19th DVOA/22nd Yards per pass
Lions Run D
30th DVOA/29th Yards allowed per carry
Bears Run O
28th DVOA/28th Yards per carry
Lions Pass D
12th DVOA/15th Yards allowed per pass
Bears Pass O
24th DVOA/23rd Yards per pass

Nagy & Patricia have matched up four times now in their two seasons as Head Coaches, with Nagy’s Bears winning all four: 34-22, 23-16, 20-13, 24-20Stafford missed both 2019 games vs CHI: Driskell & Blough scored 19.1 & 18.3 DK pts, respectivelyPrior to going on IR, Stafford was averaging 23.31 DK pts/g; 3 low games (17.1, 12.1, 11.5) & 5 high games (31.6, 24.4, 32.6, 27.4, 29.8)With Stafford, Golladay put up 2 huge duds (3.7 & 3.1 DK pts), 2 . . .

Don't Have Access?

GRAB OWS FREE!

Free Week 7 ::
Angles Podcast || Most Of The NFL Edge


Kickoff Sunday, Sep 13th 1:00pm Eastern

Colts (
25.5) at

Jaguars (
18.5)

Over/Under 44.0

Tweet
Notes

Key Matchups
Colts Run D
6th DVOA/3rd Yards allowed per carry
Jaguars Run O
17th DVOA/29th Yards per carry
Colts Pass D
3rd DVOA/1st Yards allowed per pass
Jaguars Pass O
21st DVOA/13th Yards per pass
Jaguars Run D
22nd DVOA/28th Yards allowed per carry
Colts Run O
22nd DVOA/26th Yards per carry
Jaguars Pass D
32nd DVOA/26th Yards allowed per pass
Colts Pass O
15th DVOA/10th Yards per pass

Frank Reich is 2-0 vs Marrone/Wash at home: 29-26, 33-13; and 0-2 on the road: 0-6, 20-38Rivers vs the Marrone/Wash Jaguars (’16, ’17, ’19) has a 9:1 TD:INT ratio and has scored in DK pts: 23.8, 16.4, 27.56Through 2019 Week 7, Rivers had 2 duds (11.9, 6.1) and 5 strong games (27.9, 23.6, 23.4, 20.8, 24.2)With starting linemen Pouncey & Lamp both then put on IR, Rivers only had one more notable fantasy game the rest of the season . . .

Don't Have Access?

GRAB OWS FREE!

Free Week 7 ::
Angles Podcast || Most Of The NFL Edge


Kickoff Sunday, Sep 13th 1:00pm Eastern

Packers (
21.5) at

Vikings (
23)

Over/Under 44.5

Tweet
Notes

Key Matchups
Packers Run D
25th DVOA/15th Yards allowed per carry
Vikings Run O
2nd DVOA/8th Yards per carry
Packers Pass D
25th DVOA/14th Yards allowed per pass
Vikings Pass O
20th DVOA/21st Yards per pass
Vikings Run D
27th DVOA/23rd Yards allowed per carry
Packers Run O
10th DVOA/7th Yards per carry
Vikings Pass D
8th DVOA/30th Yards allowed per pass
Packers Pass O
6th DVOA/14th Yards per pass

2 of MIN’s 3 worst offensive performances of the 2019 season came against GB, scoring a COMBINED 26 points (average in other 14 was 27.2 ppg), turning the ball over 5 times, and allowing 6 sacksStefon Diggs replacement Justin Jefferson had the 2nd most catches from the slot in a single college season since 20142019 MIN ran 11 personnel (3 WRs) on just 25% of plays (NFL average is 60%), and ran 12 or 21 personnel (2 WRs) 27% above NFL average, meaning Jefferson is going to be playing outside far more often than he did in college2019 . . .

Don't Have Access?

GRAB OWS FREE!

Free Week 7 ::
Angles Podcast || Most Of The NFL Edge


Kickoff Sunday, Sep 13th 1:00pm Eastern

Dolphins (
17.25) at

Patriots (
24.25)

Over/Under 41.5

Tweet
Notes

Key Matchups
Dolphins Run D
32nd DVOA/19th Yards allowed per carry
Patriots Run O
3rd DVOA/2nd Yards per carry
Dolphins Pass D
10th DVOA/17th Yards allowed per pass
Patriots Pass O
27th DVOA/25th Yards per pass
Patriots Run D
18th DVOA/16th Yards allowed per carry
Dolphins Run O
23rd DVOA/22nd Yards per carry
Patriots Pass D
17th DVOA/9th Yards allowed per pass
Dolphins Pass O
11th DVOA/16th Yards per pass

Bill Belichick was 8-2 in Week 1 during the last decade, with his only losses being: 2014 @MIA in the heat with 2 TOs, blocked punt, & 100 penalty yds; 2017 vs KC against the other coach to go 8-2 in Week 1 during the decade (Andy Reid)Although MIA ranked dead last in defensive DVOA in 2019, it’s tough to know what to expect from MIA’s 2020 defense considering how much has been added to it this offseason, including CB Byron Jones (PFF #14), CB Igbinoghene (1st-rd R), Edge Kyle Van Noy (PFF #15 . . .

Don't Have Access?

GRAB OWS FREE!

Free Week 7 ::
Angles Podcast || Most Of The NFL Edge


Kickoff Sunday, Sep 13th 1:00pm Eastern

Eagles (
24.5) at

WFT (
18.5)

Over/Under 43.0

Tweet
Notes

Key Matchups
Eagles Run D
15th DVOA/21st Yards allowed per carry
Washington Run O
21st DVOA/32nd Yards per carry
Eagles Pass D
29th DVOA/12th Yards allowed per pass
Washington Pass O
32nd DVOA/28th Yards per pass
Washington Run D
17th DVOA/24th Yards allowed per carry
Eagles Run O
25th DVOA/13th Yards per carry
Washington Pass D
6th DVOA/2nd Yards allowed per pass
Eagles Pass O
29th DVOA/26th Yards per pass
  • Pederson’s Eagles beat Rivera’s Panthers by 5 in 2017 and lost by 4 in 2018, their only two matchups against each other
  • Pederson is 4-0 in season openers with an average margin of victory of 10.75 pts, while Rivera is 4-5 in season openers with 7/9 games ending within a one-possession margin
  • Carson Wentz has won his last 5 games vs WAS, with 28 being the least amount of points the Eagles have scored
  • Only two teams allowed more passing TDs in 2019 than WAS
  • After being sacked 14 times in his first 4 matchups vs WAS, Wentz has been sacked just 3 times in the last 3 matchups
  • PHI has already lost two starting offensive linemen for the season: LT Andre Dillard & G Brandon Brooks
  • WAS’s D finished 10th in sacks in 2019 and has now added the best pass rushing prospect in PFF’s history to help make up Brandon Thorn’s #4 ranked defensive line
  • Only two teams allowed more DK pts to RBs in 2019 than WAS, with the 2nd most RB rushing yards allowed and 5th most RB receiving yards allowed
  • Miles Sanders usage averages in first 9 games vs last 7 games (excluding W17 early exit): 38% snaps // 8.4 attempts // 3 targets vs. 77% snaps // 14.8 attempts // 5 targets
  • In 2019, WAS allowed the 4th most DK pts/g to TEs on the 7th most TE rec allowed
  • In his first 9 games pre-BYE, Ertz had just 2 games of double-digit targets, and in his 6 games post-BYE as PHI injuries piled up, he had 4 games of double-digit targets
  • In his first 8 games pre-BYE, Goedert averaged 4 targets/g, and in his 8 games post-BYE as PHI injuries piled up, he averaged 7.9 targets/g
  • Returning to the lineup to take up some usage is Desean Jackson, who played on just 14 snaps after 2019 Week 1 (in which he received 9 targets)
  • Only BAL & NOR faced fewer rush attempts in 2019 than PHI, but PHI ranked 9th in RB targets faced
  • Thompson & Guice are both gone, Peterson and Barber’s best 2019 receiving game between them was 3 rec for 25 yds, and so it appears that WAS’s best receiving threat out of the backfield is rookie hybrid Antonio Gibson, who finished with 38 rec at Memphis last year
  • In the 7 games Haskins started from Week 9 to Week 16, Terry McLaurin ranked 16th in market share of air yards, but just 34th in PPR pts
  • However, if you split between Haskins’ first 4 starts and his last 3 (as he got more comfortable and the pass defenses got easier), McLaurin averaged 8.2 DK pts and then 19.4 DK pts
  • 2019 PHI allowed the 4th-most WR DK pts/g, so they added Nickell-Robey Coleman (for the slot) and Darius Slay; while an elite shadow corner himself, he did reside on a DET D that actually gave up the 2nd-most WR DK pts/g in 2019
  • In McLaurin’s first matchup against Slay, he finished with 72 yards on 5 catches (12 targets), making up nearly half of Haskins’ 156 passing yds on the day

How Washington Will Try to Win ::

Before we dive in here, we should first note that the non-name-change and the fake-culture-change in Washington were not the only changes that occurred this offseason, as this team also made the very real and tangible change of getting rid of Jay Gruden as the head coach — replacing him with Ron Rivera. And unlike Gruden (who was unbelievably willing to “play to not lose” instead of playing to win), Rivera will very much be in the business of aggressively looking for ways to win each game he’s in.

So if you’re Ron Rivera and offensive coordinator Scott Turner, here’s what you’re working with in trying to win this game ::

On the defensive side of the ball, you have a good defensive line, decent linebackers, and a suspect secondary. The Eagles have DeSean Jackson deep, and they have Zach Ertz, Dallas Goedert, and Miles Sanders underneath. But again: unlike Gruden, Rivera won’t be sitting back and hoping to bleed this game out in the hopes that the final score doesn’t look too bad (or that a few breaks come his way and he ends up with a win). Rivera will be trying set the tone for his team — which could mean a bit of aggressiveness from this Washington defense as they look to make things happen.

On offense, Scott Turner will want to get the ball into the hands of Terry McLaurin and Antonio Gibson (Turner likes to utilize speed — not only on the field, but also in terms of pace, where his Carolina offense last year ranked first in pace of play). And while it’s easy to go overboard with projections, a breakdown of available plays and targets begins to bring things into focus here ::

Even if Washington runs only 60 plays (Carolina ran 67.3 plays per game last year…though Carolina also had this guy named Christian McCaffrey), it’s difficult to see them giving more than 12 to 14 dead touches to Peyton Barber (especially against this Philly defense that — as we know — annually faces among the fewest running back carries in the league), and Bryce Love is going to be eased into the backfield behind him. Even adding in some sacks and Haskins throwaways (or throws so bad they may as well be throwaways), we still end up with a conservative projection of 30 remaining offensive plays — with the following players left to soak up these looks: McLaurin // Gibson || Steven Sims // Dontrelle Inman // Logan Thomas. We saw last year that Turner was very willing to lean heavily on his top players in CMC and D.J. Moore. Seven to nine targets for McLaurin and a genuine eight to 12 touches for Gibson would not be unexpected — and each player has potential for more work than that as Washington looks for ways to establish their new identity while avoiding the stout run defense of the Eagles and attacking through the air.

How Philadelphia Will Try To Win ::

We’ll start on the defensive side of the ball for Philly, where Jim Schwartz is likely to try to force Dwayne Haskins to make mistakes by throwing things at him that he isn’t used to seeing, and that he may not be expecting. The name of the game here will likely be forcing mistakes that can allow the Eagles to play from in front for the majority of this game. (After Washington allowed 4.85 yards per carry to running backs last season — while giving up the second most running back rushing yards in the league — this is a solid recipe for an Eagles win.)

Offensively, the Eagles are hoping to finally be able to shift away from the “horizontal” offense they’ve been forced to run over the last couple years (due to lack of a downfield threat), and to instead start angling these underneath guys downfield a bit in order to add a more explosive component to their identity. Below, I’m including a quick little video that shows what I’m talking about here.

If Philly is able to successfully use Jackson to stretch the defense deep, this could give a little more upside to the underneath/volume guys in Ertz and Goedert, while also giving Sanders more room to work when he has the ball in his hands; though regardless of how effective the Eagles are with this specific plan in the early going, the four names listed so far (D-Jax // Ertz // Goedert // Sanders) should ultimately be “how the Eagles try to win” — leaving only scraps for guys like John Hightower, JJ Arcega-Whiteside, Boston Scott, etc. (Though “scraps” for Scott down the stretch last season was still typically 10 to 12 touches per game — while Sanders was consistently held in the 20 to 25 touch range; just something to think about, given all the Sanders hype this offseason).

Likeliest Game Flow ::

I’ll be surprised if we see Washington show up for this game with a conservative game plan on offense. Ultimately — in spite of the fact that Rivera is actively looking to find ways to win every game he’s in — the most important thing for him to do in his first game with a new team is set the tone. This team will want to appear fearless — and that could very well mean mirroring the pace-up play that Turner and Rivera installed in Carolina last year.

Unfortunately for Washington, Haskins was abysmal last year when facing pressure (his QB rating dropped from 81.8 to 58.9!), while Philly produced pressure at the ninth highest rate in the NFL last year.

In the likeliest version for this game, Haskins hits some splash plays and Washington looks good from time to time; but in the face of the Eagles’ pass rush, enough mistakes are made that this team is not quite able to put together complete drives — leading to Philly gradually pulling away, and to only one or two useful pieces on either side of the ball emerging from this game.

Tributaries ::

There is a tributary in which Scott Turner could scheme enough successful short-area looks to various pieces to keep Washington in this game, and he could keep Philly off-balance enough to create splash plays with McLaurin and Gibson. In this scenario, we could have a surprise back-and-forth contest in which Philly is having to remain aggressive throughout, and in which this game becomes a bit higher-scoring than most will likely expect.

DFS+ Interpretation ::

This game, unsurprisingly, carries an Over/Under of only 43.0 — with Washington in particular carrying a paltry Vegas-implied team total of only 18.5. If simply shopping Vegas lines, the only player from this game who would stand out at all would be Miles Sanders as a featured running back on a fairly large favorite (6.0 points) — and the more you try to come up with ways in which Haskins will be able to consistently outmaneuver Jim Schwartz and his well-coached, selectively-aggressive defense, the more likely it seems that this game environment will not be conducive to huge fantasy scores.

If building around the tributary above (a setup in which Washington keeps pace, or even holds a lead), I would go ahead and commit to this game fully on a small percentage of rosters — essentially betting on this entire game environment becoming more exciting than most will anticipate. Otherwise: the best way to approach this spot would be to isolate individual plays that you think can post a big enough score to matter on a week like Week 1.

Because Ertz and Goedert (and all of the Washington pieces behind McLaurin and Gibson) typically require volume or touchdowns in order to hit, they end up in a tier below the guys like McLaurin, Gibson, D-Jax, and Sanders for me.

McLaurin should see seven to nine looks, and even if he sees quite a bit of Darius Slay, his quarterback play would concern me more than his matchup, while Gibson has enough electrifying upside (and there are enough available touches in this Washington backfield) that he could be used as an “embrace uncertainty in a hunt for upside” play this week.

I’ll likely wait to use D-Jax in games where I expect Philly to have to continue passing deep throughout the game, but he’s obviously just one play away from a touchdown at all times. And finally: I love Sanders as a player, and I do like this matchup; but I also don’t feel as confident as others that he’ll become a true workhorse this year. On 20 to 23 touches, he would be a solid play — but there are plenty of “solid plays” out there that come with a little more role certainty than Sanders necessarily carries himself.

In all — as a “tighter build” kind of guy — this is a game I’ll likely end up avoiding. But each team has a couple pieces that can at least be strongly considered, even without this game environment necessarily supporting a blowup.


Kickoff Sunday, Sep 13th 4:05pm Eastern

Chargers (
21.75) at

Bengals (
19.25)

Over/Under 41.0

Tweet
Notes

Key Matchups
Chargers Run D
21st DVOA/9th Yards allowed per carry
Bengals Run O
27th DVOA/24th Yards per carry
Chargers Pass D
11th DVOA/29th Yards allowed per pass
Bengals Pass O
26th DVOA/18th Yards per pass
Bengals Run D
23rd DVOA/27th Yards allowed per carry
Chargers Run O
31st DVOA/12th Yards per carry
Bengals Pass D
16th DVOA/22nd Yards allowed per pass
Chargers Pass O
7th DVOA/8th Yards per pass

In Tyrod’s 3 seasons as BUF’s starter, the Bills ranked 2nd, 2nd, & 4th in rush attempts, 1st, 1st, & 6th in rushing yds, 1st, 1st, & 15th in rush yds/att, and 1st, 1st, & 15th in rush TDsGreg Roman was the OC for the first season, and after he got fired before WK 3 in year two, Anthony Lynn took over as OC for the rest of Tyrod’s second starting seasonWith Rivers starting, Lynn’s Chargers have only ranked 19th, 19th, & 28th in rush attempts, while ranking 8th, 24th, & 10th in pass attempts . . .

Don't Have Access?

GRAB OWS FREE!

Free Week 7 ::
Angles Podcast || Most Of The NFL Edge


Kickoff Sunday, Sep 13th 4:25pm Eastern

Bucs (
21.75) at

Saints (
25.75)

Over/Under 47.5

Tweet
Notes

Key Matchups
Buccaneers Run D
3rd DVOA/1st Yards allowed per carry
Saints Run O
12th DVOA/18th Yards per carry
Buccaneers Pass D
1st DVOA/6th Yards allowed per pass
Saints Pass O
14th DVOA/12th Yards per pass
Saints Run D
4th DVOA/6th Yards allowed per carry
Buccaneers Run O
6th DVOA/20th Yards per carry
Saints Pass D
15th DVOA/19th Yards allowed per pass
Buccaneers Pass O
9th DVOA/17th Yards per pass

Payton is 4-1 vs Arians: 31-7, 19-31, 48-41, 31-24, 34-17As Brees has transitioned to playing just a series in preseason, the Saints have scored 6 and 3 points in the first halves of 2 of their last 3 season-openersIn the first 3 weeks of the last 3 seasons, Allen’s NOR defense has allowed point totals of: (29, 36, 13), (48, 18, 37), (28, 27, 27)Brees’s attempt totals from 2017-19 in W1-W3 vs ROS average: (37 vs 32.7), (43 vs 30), (43 vs 36.7)Brees’s yardage . . .

Don't Have Access?

GRAB OWS FREE!

Free Week 7 ::
Angles Podcast || Most Of The NFL Edge


Kickoff Sunday, Sep 13th 4:25pm Eastern

Cards (
20.5) at

49ers (
27)

Over/Under 47.5

Tweet
Notes

Key Matchups
Cardinals Run D
10th DVOA/17th Yards allowed per carry
49ers Run O
9th DVOA/11th Yards per carry
Cardinals Pass D
10th DVOA/11th Yards allowed per pass
49ers Pass O
17th DVOA/20th Yards per pass
49ers Run D
7th DVOA/10th Yards allowed per carry
Cardinals Run O
2nd DVOA/4th Yards per carry
49ers Pass D
22rd DVOA/5th Yards allowed per pass
Cardinals Pass O
18th DVOA/19th Yards per pass

In Week 1, against Rivera, Zimmer, & Bowles defenses, Kyle Shanahan is 1-2 with 8 total turnovers and as many defensive touchdowns (2), as total offensive touchdowns (2)In Kyle Shanahan’s only career matchup vs HC Vance Joseph (DEN HC), his 49ers won 20-14 behind 332 passing yards from Nick Mullens and a career day (210 yards) from George KittleAgainst Joseph’s ARI defense in 2019, Shanahan’s offense scored 28 and 30 points despite missing Kittle for the second gameAgainst ARI in 2019: Garoppolo’s 2nd & 3rd highest pass attempt totals, 1st & 3rd highest . . .

Don't Have Access?

GRAB OWS FREE!

Free Week 7 ::
Angles Podcast || Most Of The NFL Edge


Kickoff Sunday, Sep 13th 8:20pm Eastern

Cowboys (
25.5) at

Rams (
26.5)

Over/Under 52.0

Tweet
Notes

Key Matchups
Cowboys Run D
29th DVOA/31st Yards allowed per carry
Rams Run O
1st DVOA/10th Yards per carry
Cowboys Pass D
21st DVOA/18th Yards allowed per pass
Rams Pass O
10th DVOA/15th Yards per pass
Rams Run D
21st DVOA/11th Yards allowed per carry
Cowboys Run O
18th DVOA/23rd Yards per carry
Rams Pass D
11th DVOA/4th Yards allowed per pass
Cowboys Pass O
22nd DVOA/1st Yards per pass

DAL new DC Mike Nolan, with 21 seasons as an NFL DC to his name, coordinated two defenses last decade, MIA from 2010-2011 & ATL from 2012-2014, finishing with defensive DVOA ranks of 9th, 12th, 12th, 29th, 32ndThe pass defense DVOA rankings of those five defenses: 22nd, 13th, 11th, 32nd, 31stNolan takes over a DAL D that ranked 19th in defensive DVOA and 23rd in pass defense DVOA in 2019, and is replacing one of the NFL’s best cover corners with a 2nd-rd rookieOne of the strengths of this defense is a pass rush made up . . .

Don't Have Access?

GRAB OWS FREE!

Free Week 7 ::
Angles Podcast || Most Of The NFL Edge


Kickoff Monday, Sep 14th 7:15pm Eastern

Steelers (
25) at

Giants (
19)

Over/Under 44.0

Tweet
Notes

Key Matchups
Steelers Run D
1st DVOA/2nd Yards allowed per carry
Giants Run O
30th DVOA/30th Yards per carry
Steelers Pass D
8th DVOA/8th Yards allowed per pass
Giants Pass O
29th DVOA/30th Yards per pass
Giants Run D
15th DVOA/8th Yards allowed per carry
Steelers Run O
14th DVOA/9th Yards per carry
Giants Pass D
23rd DVOA/16th Yards allowed per pass
Steelers Pass O
12th DVOA/24th Yards per pass

In the last 2 years, first-time head coaches in Week 1 are 1-10-1Mike Tomlin is 7-5-1 in Week 1 for his career, with 3 big wins, 3 big losses, & 3 OT games in the 7 one-possession gamesNYG OC Jason Garrett has faced Tomlin’s Steelers once as an OC and twice as a HC, losing as OC (13-20, 5 TOs) and winning both as HC (27-24, 35-30)From 2014-2017, Ben had the most striking home/road splits of any QB, averaging 24 fantasy pts/g at home vs just . . .

Don't Have Access?

GRAB OWS FREE!

Free Week 7 ::
Angles Podcast || Most Of The NFL Edge


Kickoff Monday, Sep 14th 10:10pm Eastern

Titans (
22) at

Broncos (
19)

Over/Under 41.0

Tweet
Notes

Key Matchups
Titans Run D
16th DVOA/26th Yards allowed per carry
Broncos Run O
20th DVOA/25th Yards per carry
Titans Pass D
24th DVOA/28th Yards allowed per pass
Broncos Pass O
31st DVOA/27th Yards per pass
Broncos Run D
5th DVOA/13th Yards allowed per carry
Titans Run O
11th DVOA/5th Yards per carry
Broncos Pass D
9th DVOA/20th Yards allowed per pass
Titans Pass O
2nd DVOA/11th Yards per pass

On the way to ranking 6th in offensive efficiency, TEN scored 20+ points in every Tannehill start after failing to do that in 4 of 6 Mariota startsIn Tannehill’s 5.5 quarters of play vs Fangio, he has scored 13 pts and taken 6 sacksDEN allowed the 8th fewest DK pts to QBs in 2019DEN’s 14th ranked pass efficiency def allowed the 9th fewest DK pts to WRs on the 3rd fewest WR targets facedIn AJ Brown’s 7 games with Tannehill vs top-15 efficiency pass defenses, he totaled 13 receptions for 207 yards, 58 rush yards . . .

Don't Have Access?

GRAB OWS FREE!

Free Week 7 ::
Angles Podcast || Most Of The NFL Edge