Kickoff Saturday, Dec 21st 8:15pm Eastern

Rams (
19.25) at

49ers (
26.25)

Over/Under 45.5

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Notes

Key Matchups
Rams Run D
5th DVOA/4th Yards allowed per carry
49ers Run O
22nd DVOA/15th Yards per carry
Rams Pass D
26th DVOA/9th Yards allowed per pass
49ers Pass O
5th DVOA/3rd Yards per pass
49ers Run D
3rd DVOA/1st Yards allowed per carry
Rams Run O
26th DVOA/31st Yards per carry
49ers Pass D
9th DVOA/4th Yards allowed per pass
Rams Pass O
22nd DVOA/29th Yards per pass

The entire Saturday Main Slate writeup can be found in the Texans // Bucs game!

Xandamere’s “quick thoughts & pricing notes” for Showdown ::

  • The 49ers defense has actually given up a lot of points since Week 8 as they’ve been battered by injuries. They get Richard Sherman back this week but are far from fully healthy.
  • Jimmy G has had a couple of blowup games against really bad defenses but has otherwise ranged from crappy to mediocre the rest of the season. Don’t discount the chance of the 49ers getting their ears pinned back.
  • Mostert is overpriced for a guy who’s likelier to end closer to 15 than 20 touches but is probably the single most likely guy on the field to score a touchdown. Overall, though, I have a hard time wanting Mostert over Gurley, whose usage is far more secure and voluminous. 
  • Don’t forget that the 49ers backfield has been a timeshare all season and we have seen, time and again, “surprise” big scores coming from the “backup” running back. Coleman and Breida will both be involved and either could be the guy who hits in this game instead of Mostert.
  • George Kittle is my single favorite play in this game. 
  • Gerald Everett is returning from injury but I have no clue if Higbee has surpassed him on the depth chart after three 100+ yard receiving games in a row. 
  • The Rams have really switched up the way they’re using their three wideouts in the last few games. In their last three, Robert Woods has 36 targets while Cooper Kupp has 16 and Brandin Cooks has 12. Cooks has one TD on the year and has not hit double-digit DK points since Week 4 and seems to have largely been shoved to the back of the rotation with Woods becoming the clear alpha (but not being priced like it).

Some groups to consider:

  • At most 1 kicker
  • At most 1 defense
  • Pair captain receivers with their QB
  • Pair captain QBs with at least 2 receivers
  • At most 2 Rams wide receivers
  • At most 2 49ers running backs