Kickoff Sunday, Sep 20th 8:20pm Eastern

Patriots (
20.25) at

Hawks (

Over/Under 45.0


Key Matchups
Patriots Run D
18th DVOA/16th Yards allowed per carry
Seahawks Run O
8th DVOA/17th Yards per carry
Patriots Pass D
17th DVOA/9th Yards allowed per pass
Seahawks Pass O
3rd DVOA/4th Yards per pass
Seahawks Run D
9th DVOA/7th Yards allowed per carry
Patriots Run O
3rd DVOA/2nd Yards per carry
Seahawks Pass D
29th DVOA/32nd Yards allowed per pass
Patriots Pass O
27th DVOA/25th Yards per pass


Sunday night brings us a super interesting showdown as the Patriots visit the Seahawks. The game total is at a modest 45 points, with the Seahawks favored by four. This is an annoying week for showdowns, to me, with two of my three least favorite teams on island games (Patriots, Saints, and Ravens). The reason why these three teams are my least favorites is that their usage is much harder to predict than most other teams (even QB usage for the Saints!). Let’s dig in and see what we can figure out.

Let’s start . . .

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