Kickoff Sunday, Jan 4th 4:25pm Eastern

Jets (
15.5) at

Bills (
22.5)

Over/Under 38.0

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Notes

Game Overview ::

By Mike johnson >>
  • The Jets have been outscored 153-46 over the past four weeks and have been putrid on offense with rookie QB Brady Cook under center.
  • Buffalo’s approach to this game could be altered by the result of the Texans game in the early window on Sunday.
  • Bills star QB Josh Allen has not practiced yet this week due to a foot injury.
  • Bills RB James Cook has a narrow lead for the NFL rushing crown and will know his target number when the game kicks off.

JM’S JOURNAL ::

Find JM’s Journal on Friday in The Scroll. If you are an Inner Circle member, you can read JM’s Journal on Thursday in Discord.

How new york Will Try To Win ::

The Jets seem to have conceded their fate in the 2025 season and have been absolutely getting destroyed for the past month. They are giving up nearly 40 points per game over the last four weeks while barely averaging over 10 points themselves. Their offense has averaged under five yards per play in each of those games and has been a complete disaster. Right now their defense is playing at a historically bad level, and their offense is about as inept as you can find in the NFL. A lack of playmaking on both sides of the ball, combined with being dominated at the line of scrimmage, has led to games where they are swiftly put into negative game scripts and it often feels like we are watching their opponents practicing their plays against “dummy” defense that is just out there to simulate what a real game might look like. Apologies for being so blunt, but rewatching these games has not felt like witnessing a professional product in any sense of the word. 

Running back Breece Hall was the lone bright spot for the Jets last week, as he busted out a 59-yard touchdown run early in the fourth quarter for New York’s only score of the game against a Patriots defense that had mostly backups on the field at the time. He finished with 129 total yards on 16 touches, which accounted for nearly half of the team’s offense. This week the Jets face a very tough Bills defense that will not allow QB Brady Cook to find anything meaningful through the air, and which should have no trouble containing the Jets on the ground early in the game. The Bills defensive weakness this season has been power running teams that are able to physically dominate them up front. New York’s only real threat is Hall at this point, but they are not strong up front, and Buffalo should have no trouble containing their running game on early downs and forcing long third-down situations that Cook will struggle to convert into first downs. Cook has actually limited turnovers early in games during his starts, but that has largely been due to the extremely conservative play calling the Jets have shown. The Jets have scored four touchdowns in total over the last four weeks. One was a punt return and another was Hall’s long run against backups last week. Only one of those four scores occurred in the first half of a game. We can expect very little movement from the Jets offense early in this game and a lot of punts.

How buffalo Will Try To Win ::

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