Kickoff Sunday, Oct 4th 9:30am Eastern

Colts (
25.5) at

WFT (
21)

Over/Under 46.5

Tweet
Notes

Published Oct 1, 2026 · 3:24 PM ET

IC LiteMinimizeShow

IC LITE – SHOWDOWN ::

GAME SETUP ::
  • Spread and total – Colts favored by 4.0 with a 47.5-point total in London.
  • London scoring trend – Games played in London have averaged 8.3 percent less scoring since 2020.
INDIANAPOLIS PIECES ::
  • Jonathan Taylor – Elite backfield role but faces the first-ranked Commanders rush defense; likely borderline extreme ownership.
  • Downs, Warren, Allen trio – Combined for 30 of 36 targets in Week 3; the passing game is hyper-concentrated through these three.
  • Seth McGowan – Only other back rostered; pure dart throw only relevant if Taylor were injured.
WASHINGTON PIECES ::
  • McLaurin and Diggs – Combined for 52 percent of Mariota’s targets; the only two players running routes at a significant rate.
  • Antonio Williams – Elite per-route target rate on limited snaps, but slot overlap with Diggs clouds his route projection.
  • Ekeler and the backfield – Ekeler signing signals Rachaad White may miss; Ekeler becomes a glaring value at $2,200 if White sits.

Inner Circle Lite

Upgrade for $5 a week

That was a sneak peek. IC Lite members get the whole condensed read on every article, all week long, plus all the projections.

Upgrade For $5 A Week

Free Account Required

See Hilow’s London Setup

Hilow is breaking down the Colts-Commanders London slate, from Taylor’s ownership dynamics to a Commanders backfield in flux. Sign up free to read the opening sections.

Inner Circle Members Only

Open The Build Order

Hilow is fading Ekeler at captain and leaning into 5-1 Colts onslaughts, but how the Daniels decision reshapes his groups changes everything.