My Sharpest Edge :: The Theory of Roster Construction
By Hilow :: 2021WHY WE HAVE THIS COURSE
by JM
- An argument could be made that Hilow is the single sharpest mind in the DFS industry when it comes to theory/strategy/approach. Whenever I read his current content, I’m taken back to the sort of content Jonathan Bales was creating in 2014, 2015, etc., around DFS Theory and DFS Strategy.
- We often talk about how much the game of DFS has evolved since 2014/2015. Bales was a HUGE part of that, as his content was widely (and voraciously) consumed by the top content providers in the DFS space, and his ideas and explorations seeped into the broader DFS community from there.
- As groundbreaking as Bales’ content was in that era of DFS is as equally groundbreaking as Hilow’s content and explorations are in this era of DFS…
- …better yet? — Hilow’s content isn’t being “widely (and voraciously)” consumed by the top content providers in the DFS space!
- In the past, reading Bales’ content was required just for keeping up with the improvement of the field.
- Today, reading Hilow’s content makes these edges all your own!
- I said above that an argument could be made that Hilow is the single sharpest mind in the DFS industry when it comes to theory/strategy/approach. If he then calls something his SHARPEST EDGE, I’m paying attention!
WHAT THIS COURSE INCLUDES
Click for full outline(!)
Lesson 1 ::
What Is Roster Construction?
Hilow defines “roster construction,” and sets the stage for the journey ahead!
Lesson 2 ::
Psychology: Human Tendencies In DFS
From this lesson ::
- “99% of fantasy footballers operate in the comfort of the known. They (yes, they, not us) make assumptions about the future based on the past.”
In this lesson, Hilow explores the natural human tendencies that lead to poor DFS decisions from our competition, setting us up to exploit these mistakes through our roster construction strategies and approaches.
Lesson 3 ::
Chalk And The Chalk Build
Hilow takes a look at chalk and “chalk builds,” then defines & explores the ideas of “restrictive chalk” and “expansive chalk” — diving into the specifics of what each type of chalk means for our rosters on a given week, and how we should consider handling each type of setup to maximize our returns over time.
Lesson 4 ::
Knowing Your Goals And Tailoring Rosters
From this lesson ::
- “The bottom line is contest size (the number of unique rosters), payout structure, number of entries allowed per person, and percentage of the field paid all unequivocally must be considered prior to building lineups for the week. I’ve said this before but want to reiterate, the larger the field, the more variance you should be accepting on individual rosters. The smaller the field, the less variance you should be accepting on individual rosters. Visualize this as a sliding scale of risk that directly correlates to the number of entries in the contest.”
One of the most overlooked elements of DFS strategy/approach, “knowing your goals and tailoring your rosters” can be a major separator between yourself and the field, and can be an IMMEDIATE difference-maker in your bottom-line this DFS season.
Lesson 5 ::
Game Theory And The Flex
From this lesson ::
- “Get to know variance on an intimate level so that it can best serve you, as opposed to shying away from it by managing it.”
As Hilow notes in this pivotal lesson :: Our competition (when they understand variance) is typically concerned with managing variance. As we learn to understand, embrace, and turn variance to our favor, we can gain a MASSIVE edge on the field.
Lesson 6 ::
Stacking And Correlation
What does the field get right about stacking and correlation? What do they get wrong?
More Importantly :: What do YOU get right and wrong about stacking and correlation?
By cleaning up mistakes in this area, an extraordinary, bankable edge can be created!
Lesson 7 ::
Portfolio Building
How do we balance and build our portfolio as a whole? How do we make sure we are positioning ourselves correctly for each tournament-type we are entering? Portfolio Building dives into these questions — positioning you to accept the appropriate amount of variance on each type of roster.
Lesson 8 ::
Practicum
From this lesson ::
- “I advise each one of you to develop your own habit patterns for your roster building process, but I will go over mine in depth here. The point is that it is imperative to develop a repeatable habit pattern so you aren’t blindly building rosters throughout the week.”
Hilow could build an entire course around this topic! Instead, he packs a serious punch into this one lesson: laying out his process, and helping you get your feet under you for your own weekly approach.
WHO THIS COURSE IS FOR
- This course NOT for the casual DFS player. As you likely know already :: it’s important that you KNOW YOUR GOALS in DFS. If your primary goal is entertainment (“and maybe I’ll land a big weekend”), you should set your process, focus, learning regimen, and expectations accordingly.
- If, on the other hand, you are in the habit of (or are “getting into the habit of”) hunting for every available edge, strengthening your play, and finding ways to move into territories of DFS strategy/play that your competition doesn’t even know exists, this course will be a perfect fit for you!
But Don’t Take Our Word For it >>>>
THE FIRST TWO LESSONS Are Free!
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Customer Reviews On This Course
I’n a “serious casual” player (if there is such a thing), and I loved this course. Highly informative and well-worth the price. Thank you to Hilow and JM for making this available.
This deep dive into game theory, and how it translates to constructing a tourney-winning roster, really does feel like a massive edge. Therefore, PLEASE DON’T BUY THIS COURSE. (LOLOL)
Game Theory Guru!!
Loved this new course from Hilow! I will need to read through it a few times more i think, but the leverage score is something i will utilize this season from Week 1!
Also, in part 8, Practicum, the first step of your process is something i started doing myself last year! It took a bit of time to set up and i was unsure how worthwhile it was, but seeing that its something you do also has given me a new found confidence that i am on the right path!
Again, thanks for another great course!
We should get some college credit in game theory after reading this course. The “Practicum” was truly illuminating.
Lesson five is worth the price of this course on its own. I feel like Hilow pulled ideas out of my head that weren’t fully formed and explained them to me—processes and ways of thinking that seem now to have been hiding in plain sight.
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