Understanding the dynamics of a market is critical to DFS and finding edges. There are many people who sway too far in both directions, either overreacting to short-term news or production or staying too long with their prior beliefs. Being able to read the market and understand these swings in perception can provide us with a huge edge over the competition. I have found that there are two periods that are the best times to exploit these situations:
Weeks 3 through 8 – This is the sweet spot of time when most people are overreacting to a small sample size . . .