Low-risk, high-reward. In any walk of life, that should be the goal. Best Ball is no different.
I believe that drafting in Best Ball is more of an “Art” than a “Science.” ADP and rankings are things that are often discussed, but rarely do people dig into “why” they are what they are. Rankings (by most sites and touts) are derived from projections and usually those projections focus on “median” outcomes, meaning what is the middle range of how things play out. Situations of uncertainty are hard to project, however, and the result is often that multiple players have a median outcome that is underwhelming, but it is highly unlikely that they will all end up in that median range. Essentially, the “Bear” cases for these players can’t ALL be true (barring complete team/organizational meltdown or massive injury situations). This creates an opportunity for us, especially in situations where we can have relative certainty in the offensive approach and/or level of quarterback play. These are the situations we must seek out and exploit, especially earlier in draft season when less information is available and before the market adjusts to that information. Below are five situations that are standing out to me early in the draft season as spots where I believe most of the players are valued at or near their low-end outcomes (assuming health) and all of the players have huge upside from their current ADPs.
STORYBOARD #1 (DRAFTERS)
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