Thursday, Sep 21st

Discussion On Variance

“The analysis of variance is not a mathematical theorem, but rather a convenient method of arranging the arithmetic.” - Sir Ronald Fisher, early 20th century British statistician, geneticist and professor; dubbed “the single most important figure in 20th century statistics”

MLB projections are hilarious to me. There is no way to accurately project a sport with so much intrinsic variance. The best players in the world can (and will) go 0-4 on a given day and leave your lineup with the vaunted snowflake emoji. Hitting a round object with a cylindrical object is one of the hardest things to do . . .

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