Mike Johnson (MJohnson86) has racked up nearly $500,000 in DFS profit as an NFL tournament player with success in all styles of contests
Welcome back to my (Mjohnson86) Player Grid. The format will vary slightly from JM’s Player Grid, as we each see things slightly differently and play in slightly different contests, but should complement his thoughts and content very well for those looking to build their lineups for the week. The format of this article will likely evolve as the season progresses but should provide a lot of value. Enjoy!!
This is a list of players that stand out to me at each position from using my “Checking the Boxes” criteria outlined in my course you can find in our Marketplace. This list is a starting point, from which I build out lineups using game theory and roster construction concepts (which we will also touch on) with the mindset being to find the best plays with big ceilings. Low ownership is a bonus, but not a must. This section will focus primarily on three positions – running back, tight end, and defense – as the other two positions (quarterback and wide receiver) tend to have more dependent tendencies which I try to attack from other angles (which we will get into in the other sections). I like all of these plays on all sites unless otherwise noted:
My approach to running back this week must be discussed with the backdrop of the entire slate in mind. I want to play as many of the high-end receiving options who could easily see 10 to 15 targets and whose teams are fighting for their lives as I can. Along the same notion, there is a big group of sub-$6,500 running backs who are in good matchups and/or game environments and/or have a realistic chance to touch the ball 18+ times. This list is a bit long, but my thought process this week is pretty straightforward – the list is long enough and the spots are good enough that I would be shocked if at least 2 or 3 of these players don’t put up a 20-point game and I also think all of them are likely to score at least 10-12 points…..while the high priced backs may have a couple 25-30 point games but unlikely to produce any “slate breakers”. With that in mind, I believe that tournament-winning rosters will be built with two running backs from the $5,100-$6,100 range and loaded up on explosive pass catchers. If playing fewer lineups, I would recommend whittling this list down more and what players you are using on the rest of your roster will likely have some effect on which of these guys you settle on, but my overall approach to the slate is working on the thesis that some combination of these backs will be played together on lineups that win this week.