Bills (

26) at
Rams (

29.5)

IC LITE – SHOWDOWN ::

GAME SETUP ::

• Spread and total – Rams favored by 3.5 with a massive 54.5 total.
• Buffalo defense – Has given up points to almost everyone, pristine matchup for LAR.

LAR PIECES ::

• Kyren Williams ($9,800) – Played 71% and 83% of snaps the last two weeks with 15.5 carries and 10 targets per game, a true bell cow role.
• Puka Nacua – 30% target share, 21 targets in two games, elite talent against an atrocious Bills secondary; the only question is 50%+ ownership.
• Davante Adams ($9,400) – Route tree is much shorter with Puka healthy (~8.4 yards per catch vs. 20+), probably needs a touchdown to matter.
• Blake Corum ($3,800) – Still playable as an RB2 and works as a hedge alongside Kyren in case the split flips back.
• Mumpfield, Atwell, Whittington – Mumpfield most likely to lead the trio in snaps and routes; Atwell has per-target upside; Whittington has almost no upside.
• Colby Parkinson – Returns and should reclaim TE1 snaps (70%+ in Weeks 1-2), pushing Higbee back to TE2.
• Tyler Higbee – Had 17 targets the last two weeks but that was without Parkinson; both TEs are cheap enough to pair.

BUF PIECES ::

• James Cook ($10,600) – Not used in the passing game and Aaron Donald makes the Rams elite against the run; hard to get excited at that price.
• Keon Coleman – More upside than Shakir but much riskier, has dudded in great spots frequently; still a clear overweight position.
• Dalton Kincaid – May be the Bills’ top pass catcher here, a better and more trusted option than Coleman; one of the favorite overall plays.
• Khalil Shakir ($7,000) – Volume play with a 5.4-yard ADoT, needs a ton of targets or a touchdown, but cheap enough to work.
• DJ Moore – Listed as questionable, got one limited practice Saturday in a non-contact jersey; likely misses the game.
• Greg Dortch – Projects as WR3 but his profile overlaps heavily with Shakir; could get overprojected and catch a ton of ownership.
• Skyler Bell – More interesting cheap Bills WR because he’s more likely to back up the route types Moore and Palmer run.
• Ty Johnson ($3,200) – Running more routes than Cook, viable cheap play especially if the Rams win.
• Dawson Knox – Needs a touchdown to matter but is one of Buffalo’s better red zone weapons with two RZ targets this year.