Kickoff Sunday, Sep 15th 4:25pm Eastern

Bears (
21.5) at

Broncos (

Over/Under 40.5


Key Matchups
Bears Run D
10th DVOA/9th Yards allowed per carry
Broncos Run O
14th DVOA/20th Yards per carry
Bears Pass D
10th DVOA/9th Yards allowed per pass
Broncos Pass O
26th DVOA/28th Yards per pass
Broncos Run D
18th DVOA/16th Yards allowed per carry
Bears Run O
29th DVOA/27th Yards per carry
Broncos Pass D
15th DVOA/11th Yards allowed per pass
Bears Pass O
21st DVOA/25th Yards per pass

Generally speaking — if we are trying to find week-winning scores at every position in tourneys, the Bears’ spread-the-wealth offense is one of our less-likely bets. We’ll probably get about eight different week-winning scores from skill position players on this offense this year; but those scores will likely be spread across five different players, making it best, in general, to leave these guys alone outside of obvious matchup boosts or game stacks in shootout environments. A Week 2 trip to the thin air of Denver (where the Broncos defense always plays far better) is not . . .

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