Kickoff Sunday, Sep 15th 4:25pm Eastern

Bears (
21.5) at

Broncos (
19)

Over/Under 40.5

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Notes

Key Matchups
Bears Run D
1st DVOA/4th Yards allowed per carry
Broncos Run O
3rd DVOA/4th Yards per carry
Bears Pass D
1st DVOA/1st Yards allowed per pass
Broncos Pass O
21st DVOA/25th Yards per pass
Broncos Run D
11th DVOA/17th Yards allowed per carry
Bears Run O
15th DVOA/27th Yards per carry
Broncos Pass D
2nd DVOA/25th Yards allowed per pass
Bears Pass O
22nd DVOA/17th Yards per pass

Generally speaking — if we are trying to find week-winning scores at every position in tourneys, the Bears’ spread-the-wealth offense is one of our less-likely bets. We’ll probably get about eight different week-winning scores from skill position players on this offense this year; but those scores will likely be spread across five different players, making it best, in general, to leave these guys alone outside of obvious matchup boosts or game stacks in shootout environments. A Week 2 trip to the thin air of Denver (where the Broncos defense always plays far better) is not . . .

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