Dak Prescott, DAL
This one is as straightforward as they come to me. Dak Prescott has accounted by 38 total touchdowns in each of his previous fully healthy seasons, has the most talented assortment of pass catchers he has had during his career, the Cowboys have an underperforming offensive line in run-blocking metrics and a backfield with no elite talent, and we could see Dallas lead the league in pass attempts in 2025. My previous research indicates that total touchdowns are most heavily correlated to fantasy success at the position and the magic number to have overall QB1 upside is 40 touchdowns – Dak has that within his range of outcomes this year, and he’s probably the latest QB in ADP to have that upside.
Trevor Lawrence, JAX
