Last updated 6/13/2022
Scoring: Full-PPR
| wdt_ID | RK | TIERS | PLAYER NAME | PR | HILOW'S NOTES |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | Christian McCaffrey | RB1 | Best asset in fantasy football on a per-game basis |
| 2 | 2 | 1 | Cooper Kupp | WR1 | League cannot contain this man on this offense |
| 3 | 3 | 1 | Dalvin Cook | RB2 | New HC (former QB), expect improved offensive efficiency - all comes down to health |
| 4 | 4 | 2 | Jonathan Taylor | RB3 | I expect a slight dip in RB opportunities via Nyheim Hines |
| 5 | 5 | 2 | Justin Jefferson | WR2 | See Cook, Dalvin |
| 6 | 6 | 2 | Aaron Jones | RB4 | 200+ carries and 100-115 targets on a top-level-talent baren offense |
| 7 | 7 | 2 | Austin Ekeler | RB5 | Will need to keep his TD rate high to pay off mid-first ADP |
| 8 | 8 | 2 | Najee Harris | RB6 | 380+ touches a near lock - don't fight volume |
| 9 | 9 | 2 | Travis Kelce | TE1 | YPRR and other efficiency metrics down - volume king at TE |
| 10 | 10 | 3 | Joe Mixon | RB7 | See Ekeler, Austin |
| 11 | 11 | 3 | Derrick Henry | RB8 | Heavy tread off those tires, needs to stay healthy |
| 12 | 12 | 3 | Davante Adams | WR3 | Most nervous about this man of any first-round ranks |
| 13 | 13 | 3 | Leonard Fournette | RB9 | Should start the season on fire with Godwin likely out - Gronk's return likely lowers him to RB12 range |
| 14 | 14 | 3 | CeeDee Lamb | WR4 | Almost ranked Cederian at WR3 (might just happen here shortly) |
| 15 | 15 | 3 | Ja'Marr Chase | WR5 | League winners almost always see regression the following year - talent is undeniable |
| 16 | 16 | 3 | Stefon Diggs | WR6 | I expect positive TD regression after leading the league in EZ targets in 2021 |
| 17 | 17 | 3 | D'Andre Swift | RB10 | More mouths to feed in DET on an offense led by Jared Goff - falls outside top 12 in half PPR |
| 18 | 18 | 3 | Saquon Barkley | RB11 | Saquon's per-game ranks would have hiim in the top 5 at the position - needs to stay healthy |
| 19 | 19 | 4 | Alvin Kamara | RB12 | Suspension? Offensive efficiency? Enough questions to keep him at the end of the RB1s |
| 20 | 20 | 4 | Michael Pittman Jr. | WR7 | My breakout WR of the year - ADP creeping up but still not high enough |
| 21 | 21 | 4 | DJ Moore | WR8 | Volume, volume, volume |
| 22 | 22 | 4 | Tyreek Hill | WR9 | Will come down to schemed usage |
| 23 | 23 | 4 | Mike Evans | WR10 | Should start the season on fire with Godwin likely out - will need to maintain high TD efficiency |
| 24 | 24 | 4 | JK Dobbins | RB13 | Ravens averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game in 2021 after averaging 25.9 in 2020 - one of the top values at RB on the board |
| 25 | 25 | 4 | Nick Chubb | RB14 | Don't go crazy if Kareem Hunt is dealt - CLE very comfortable with his role |
| 26 | 26 | 4 | Deebo Samuel | WR11 | Don't fight talent and efficiency - QB change holds him back for me |
| 27 | 27 | 4 | Mike Williams | WR12 | WR breakout candidate number two |
| 28 | 28 | 4 | Adam Thielen | WR13 | WR15 or better in FPPG each of the past three seasons - one of the top values of the top 7 rounds |
| 29 | 29 | 4 | Keenan Allen | WR14 | Aging and past prime, declining efficiency metrics - volume enough to keep him a high WR2 |
| 30 | 30 | 4 | Mark Andrews | TE2 | Inverse of JK Dobbins - one of my early draft season fades |
| 31 | 31 | 4 | Courtland Sutton | WR15 | WR breakout candidate number three |
| 32 | 32 | 4 | A.J. Brown | WR16 | Should maintain efficiency on short to intermediate routes - Hurts' downfield abilities slight dent |
| 33 | 33 | 5 | James Conner | RB15 | Finally put in a full season in 2021 and we saw the reward - health remains a question |
| 34 | 34 | 5 | Kyle Pitts | TE3 | If Marcus Mariota starts the entire year he moves to my TE2 (Mariota loves him some TE) |
| 35 | 35 | 5 | Brandin Cooks | WR17 | Keep sleeping, y'all |
| 36 | 36 | 5 | Diontae Johnson | WR18 | Volume, volume, volume |
| 37 | 37 | 5 | Josh Allen | QB1 | Undisputed QB1 - but where do you take the first QB off the board? 3/4 turn is fine by me |
| 38 | 38 | 5 | Ezekiel Elliott | RB16 | No qualms ranking him as a mid-RB2 - becoming a nice little value in the fourth round |
| 39 | 39 | 5 | DK Metcalf | WR19 | Volume and talent outweigh questions at QB |
| 40 | 40 | 5 | Amari Cooper | WR20 | See Metcalf, DK |
| 41 | 41 | 5 | Tee Higgins | WR21 | See Chase, Ja'Marr |
| 42 | 42 | 5 | Jaylen Waddle | WR22 | Tyreek and Waddle are going to be a fun tandem to watch this year - again, comes down to schemed usage |
| 43 | 43 | 5 | Terry McLaurin | WR23 | Volume, volume, volume |
| 44 | 44 | 5 | Javonte Williams | RB17 | Look, the dude can ball, but will the new regime give him 65% of the RB usage? 60%? 50%? Questions abound |
| 45 | 45 | 5 | David Montgomery | RB18 | Volume, volume, volume |
| 46 | 46 | 5 | Breece Hall | RB19 | Volume, volume, volume - RB19 is probably a little conservative (range of outcomes is anywhere from 2021 Michael Carter to 2021 Najee Harris) |
| 47 | 47 | 5 | Rashod Bateman | WR24 | BB darling for spike week potential |
| 48 | 48 | 5 | Travis Etienne Jr. | RB20 | Wide range of outcomes with so many variables in JAX (I won't argue with anything from RB13-RB24) |
| 49 | 49 | 5 | Josh Jacobs | RB21 | Volume likely going to take a hit with a crowded RB room, better in standard or .5 PPR |
| 50 | 50 | 5 | Marquise Brown | WR25 | Should start the season on fire with Nuk out, but how will they coexist? |
| 51 | 51 | 5 | Allen Robinson II | WR26 | Finally back to a QB comfortable throwing into tighter coverage (not a separator) |
| 52 | 52 | 5 | Darnell Mooney | WR27 | WR breakout candidate number four (could finish as a top 15-18 WR depending on downfield connections) |
| 53 | 53 | 6 | Lamar Jackson | QB2 | Will he maintain a high level of designed QB runs after injuries in 2021? Sky-high ceiling regardless |
| 54 | 54 | 6 | Amon-Ra St. Brown | WR28 | Now crowded offense helmed by Jared Goff - I'm uncomfortable ranking him any higher based on my range of outcomes projections |
| 55 | 55 | 6 | Cam Akers | RB22 | Upside is undeniable - health and usage questions remain |
| 56 | 56 | 6 | Clyde Edwards-Helaire | RB23 | Somethings gotta give here - either CEH sees more pass game usage or he's a perennial disappointment |
| 57 | 57 | 6 | Rob Gronkowski | TE4 | Waiting patiently for his return announcement - smashing in drafts now before that happens |
| 58 | 58 | 6 | Antonio Gibson | RB24 | Still expect solid volume - offense led by anti-checkdowner Carson Wentz |
| 59 | 59 | 6 | Jerry Jeudy | WR29 | Sky-high spike week potential but I feel the industry is overweighting his expected snap rate and volume |
| 60 | 60 | 6 | Damien Harris | RB25 | High TD expectancy when healthy - better in standard and .5 PPR |
| 61 | 61 | 6 | Chris Godwin | WR30 | Top 12 in FPPG expectation - late 2020 injury means everything from full season to PUP list on the table |
| 62 | 62 | 6 | Darren Waller | TE5 | Can this offense support the required volume for Waller to pay off ADP? I'm on team "NO" |
| 63 | 63 | 6 | DeAndre Hopkins | WR31 | Top 12 in FPPG expectation - will miss the first 6 games of the season |
| 64 | 64 | 6 | Dalton Schultz | TE6 | Expect him to up his route participation rates from a year ago |
| 65 | 65 | 6 | Tyler Lockett | WR32 | See Metcalf, DK |
| 66 | 66 | 6 | Miles Sanders | RB26 | Will this dude ever score another TD in the NFL? Kidding |
| 67 | 67 | 6 | George Kittle | TE7 | Better in BB than redraft - spike week potential abound but question weekly bankable volume (widest range of outcomes of top 12 TEs) |
| 68 | 68 | 6 | AJ Dillon | RB27 | Might still be too low here - less valuable in BB where spike weeks matter more (without an injury to Jones) |
| 69 | 69 | 6 | Justin Herbert | QB3 | Two of my top 14 WRs are Chargers plus Ekeler in the top 12 positionally - love this offense, love this division |
| 70 | 70 | 6 | Gabriel Davis | WR33 | Unreal efficiency in his career and now set to see 80%+ of the offensive snaps - might be too low here |
| 71 | 71 | 6 | Melvin Gordon III | RB28 | See Williams, Javonte but with a more bearable ADP - less valuable in BB where spike weeks matter more |
| 72 | 72 | 6 | Patrick Mahomes II | QB4 | Just barely my QB4 (3-5 all very close in median projections - while we're here, median projections are for jokers) |
| 73 | 73 | 6 | Michael Thomas | WR34 | Questions abound - wide range of outcomes |
| 74 | 74 | 6 | Cordarrelle Patterson | RB29 | Tons of questions in ATL surrounding backfield but he's getting paid like a guy to see some usage - current ADP value |
| 75 | 75 | 6 | Elijah Mitchell | RB30 | Durability and volume questions |
| 76 | 76 | 7 | JuJu Smith-Schuster | WR35 | Honestly pains me to have him this high - might change moving forward |
| 77 | 77 | 7 | Kyler Murray | QB5 | Will we see increased rushing return? Sky-high ceiling |
| 78 | 78 | 7 | T.J. Hockenson | TE8 | Now crowded offense helmed by Jared Goff - I'm uncomfortable ranking him any higher based on my range of outcomes projections |
| 79 | 79 | 7 | Joe Burrow | QB6 | Must maintain level of efficiency |
| 80 | 80 | 7 | Elijah Moore | WR36 | Talent plus volume on a poor offense |
| 81 | 81 | 7 | Jalen Hurts | QB7 | What offense will we see from PHI this year after a weird season in 2021? Off-season signings indicate an aggressive one |
| 82 | 82 | 7 | Dallas Goedert | TE9 | See Hurts, Jalen |
| 83 | 83 | 7 | Kareem Hunt | RB31 | Is he on the move? Where will he land? How much money are the Browns comfortable sinking into their backfield? |
| 84 | 84 | 7 | Chase Edmonds | RB32 | Getting paid like a number one but on a team with an extremely crowded running back room - wide range of potential outcomes here |
| 85 | 85 | 7 | Hunter Renfrow | WR37 | See Waller, Darren (oh, and the fact that the Raiders have ranked in the bottom 8 in RZ TD rate in back-to-back years) - great scheme fit though |
| 86 | 86 | 7 | DeVonta Smith | WR38 | See Brown, A.J. |
| 87 | 87 | 7 | Tony Pollard | RB33 | Similar to AJ Dillon - less valuable in BB where spike weeks matter more (top RB cuff in the game) |
| 88 | 88 | 8 | Devin Singletary | RB34 | Such a wide range of outcomes with this backfield - BUF one of the lowest RB target rates in the league past two seasons |
| 89 | 89 | 8 | Dak Prescott | QB8 | Priced right |
| 90 | 90 | 8 | Rashaad Penny | RB35 | Paid like "the man" but questions abound with the addition of Walker |
| 91 | 91 | 8 | Russell Wilson | QB9 | Upside for days in Denver |
| 92 | 92 | 8 | Nyheim Hines | RB36 | Current proud owner of the league's 12th-most expensive RB contract - will be involved |
| 93 | 93 | 8 | Brandon Aiyuk | WR39 | Has shown truly elite flashes, question the rest |
| 94 | 94 | 8 | Matthew Stafford | QB11 | Cooper Kupp. Enough said. |
| 95 | 95 | 8 | Michael Carter | RB37 | Perfect example why median projections are lame - likely to finish around here based on overall volume, but per-game volume lacking ( I won't have any) |
| 96 | 96 | 8 | Kenneth Walker III | RB38 | See Penny, Rashaad |
| 97 | 97 | 8 | Zach Ertz | TE10 | Volume expectation to start the year extremely high |
| 98 | 98 | 8 | Christian Kirk | WR40 | Good lord this dude got paid - Lawrence attempted more than 600 passes in his rookie season (might be too low here) |
| 99 | 99 | 8 | Treylon Burks | WR41 | Talent plus opportunity great, low pass volume offense |
| 100 | 100 | 8 | Robert Tonyan | TE11 | I expect him to see more than the 57% route participation that he saw in 2021 |
| PR |
