Titans @ Packers

DFS Showdown Strategy

By: hilow

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OUTLOOK

This game is highly likely to be controlled by the suffocating fronts of the Titans (on both sides of the ball). Furthermore, these two teams hold the first and second slowest situation neutral pace of play in the league, and hold the 32^nd (Titans) and 30^th (Packers) overall pace of play. That leaves efficiency as the name of the game on this slate. The biggest injury news to follow for the Titans is center Ben Jones, who should be considered doubtful as he works his way through the league’s concussion protocol in a short week. Outsider linebacker/EDGE Bud Dupree is attempting to work his way back from a one-game absence with a hip injury (has yet to practice this week). While neither of those isolated injuries is likely to completely derail the Titans chances of controlling this game with their offensive and defensive lines, it is notable to the expectation in the second half, with the Packers more likely to be able to pass their way back into the contest against a below average Tennessee secondary. The Packers offensive line and pass-catching unit are in rough shape here, with both David Bakhtiari and Elgton Jenkins yet to practice along the offensive line and with Romeo Doubs joining them on the non-participation list. The Packers release of longtime special teams return man and part-time slot wide receiver Amari Rodgers leaves their pass-catching corps extremely thin, considering Doubs’ injury and Randall Cobb’s continued presence on the injured reserve. Cobb’s 21-day practice window was opened on Tuesday, keeping the door open for a possible return to action on Thursday. Either way, Allen Lazard and Christian Watson should be considered the only near every-down snap-rate players on this offense, with tight end Robert Tonyan, Randall Cobb (if he returns), and Sammy Watkins rounding out the unit in modest snap-rate roles. Expect a likeliest scenario where the Titans maintain control through the aforementioned methods in the first half while the Packers are forced into catch-up mode in the second half through a dinged-up pass-catching corps.

CASH GAMES

Cash games are a little thin on this slate, with Derrick Henry, Allen Lazard, both quarterbacks, and both kickers in primary consideration. The low volume expected from each offense, combined with the priced-up nature of Derrick Henry as the clear top option on the slate, makes cash games difficult to navigate.

TOURNAMENTS

There is a little bit more room to have here with the tournament captain selection, with my favorite being Packers wide receiver Allen Lazard. After Lazard, Derrick Henry and Christian Watson are the top options for captain consideration as the players likely to be on the field the most. I’ll caution against quarterbacks in the captain slot on a slate with so few expected offensive plays to be run from scrimmage. Aaron Jones left Week 10’s game against the Cowboys with a shin issue but should be good to go here. Considering the state of the Packers pass-catching corps, there are viable paths to Jones leading the game in targets, making him an interesting option to consider at captain. Finally, Randall Cobb makes for an interesting captain option, should he return from injured reserve.

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