Xandamere is one of the most respected Showdown minds in DFS, and focuses his Main Slate play on mass-multi-entry
Week 6, and it finally happened. Superdraft reduced the size of their primary GPP a bit. That said, this is entirely normal throughout the NFL season, contests get smaller as the season goes on. If this contest gets the same number of entries as it did last week, we’ll still see some overlay here, which makes it still worth pursuing. After I came THIS close to winning it last week, I’m definitely going after it again.
Before you read this article, you should read my NFL Superdraft Primer to get a basic understanding of the site, how it’s different from Draftkings and Fanduel, and the strategy elements that come into play. If you haven’t signed up yet, you can get $100 free with a minimum $100 deposit!! (Promo Code :: OWS)
First, all the normal NFL strategy about stacking and correlation still applies. It definitely makes sense to strongly consider pairing your QB with a receiver. Game stacks are entirely viable here. The good news is you don’t have to change your entire approach to be successful on Superdraft. All you have to do is change your mentality of player selection, since the multiplier introduces so many different strategy dynamics, as the primer goes over. With that, let’s take a look at Week 6. I’m not going to go game by game here (we have the Edge for that!), but rather, position by position, trying to spot where I think there are good opportunities to leverage attractive scoring multipliers.
Superdraft is a funny site because the highest projected quarterback that I have is . . . Taylor Heinicke. With his 1.55x multiplier, and in the best game environment on the slate, Heinicke projects really well. So do his weapons. He’s a good play, but expect him to be really popular. If you want to roster stud quarterbacks, Lamar Jackson and Patrick Mahomes project well despite limited multipliers. I also wouldn’t argue with targeting Justin Herbert again, or Matthew Stafford in one of the highest total games on the week, but there are also a few other somewhat sneakier options available. Mac Jones should be passing a lot as the Patriots try to keep up with the Cowboys, and while Jones is not a great quarterback by any means, a 1.65 multiplier is extremely lucrative if he does hit. Joe Burrow against the Lions stands out at 1.45x, as does Carson Wentz with 1.55x against the woeful Texans. I’m also still tempted by the upside of Justin Fields at a massive 1.7x multiplier, even though we haven’t seen success from him yet. I feel like it’s coming.
The chalk play here is going to be Khalil Herbert with his almost never seen 2x multiplier. He’ll be highly owned, but with this multiplier, he’s a pretty darn good play. Kareen Hunt is just at 1.25x (surprisingly low for him), but without Nick Chubb, he’s another really strong option. Past those two, the running back field flattens out and opens up opportunities for us to find some higher multiplier options. Chuba Hubbard (1.55x), Darrell Henderson (1.3x), D’Andre Swift (1.3x), Darrel Williams (1.65x), Antonio Gibson (1.3x) all look tempting. I’d really be interested in Joe Mixon or Aaron Jones but their multipliers are just gross, but Dalvin Cook at 1.1x feels playable if he’s going to have his full role. Finally, Javonte Williams at 1.8x is playable as it would become an absolute smash play (better than Herbert) if Melvin Gordon is ruled out. With this being a late game, I’m going to try to be overweight on Williams going into the day, and hope we get MG3 ruled out after the early games start, to lower his ownership.
Mike Williams is my top projected wide receiver of the week as he’s been stuck at a 1.4x multiplier despite multiple massive games (Keenan Allen, despite worse performances all season, is at 1.15x!). Jakobi Meyers is another useful option at 1.65x in a game in which we can expect the Patriots to pass a lot. Terry McLaurin at 1.3x will also be highly popular in that KC/WAS game (assuming he plays), while Kadarius Toney’s multiplier stayed all the way down at 1.85x after a huge week. Davante Adams is just 1x but he still has 40 point upside and he rounds out the list of who I think will be the most popular wide receivers. As always, I want to stack my wide receivers where I can, and so for all of the quarterbacks that I mentioned above, I will include their wide receivers. I’ll also list some WRs I’m comfortable playing solo without any sort of game stack (in addition to the guys noted above):
I feel like I haven’t really “hit” on tight end since Week 1, ugh. Time to get back to it. Mark Andrews and Travis Kelce are the top projected options, both are solid and both will come with significant ownership. I’m fine with either, but will also include tight ends in my QB stacks (always a strategy I utilize), as well as getting some exposure to these folks regardless of game stack:
On salary cap sites, when we look at stacks, we need to consider not just overall projection/ceiling but also salary. Stacking Patrick Mahomes, Tyreek Hill, and Travis Kelce is almost always a strong play in a vacuum, but they’re so expensive, even if they all have good games, you may not be able to build a tournament winning roster around them. On Superdraft, it’s a similar dynamic. We need to consider multiplier adjusted ceiling and what it would take for each stack to put up tourney viable scores. Similar to the Chiefs example, stacking Rodgers to Davante Adams on Superdraft isn’t a play that couldn’t win you a tournament, but you would need massive ceiling performances at their multipliers. Same with Kyler Murray and DeAndre Hopkins. As always, it’s okay to have some lower-multiplier plays on your rosters but make sure you’re only using a few. If you have a Rodgers to Adams stack, I probably wouldn’t want to use many other low-multiplier plays on that roster. On the other hand, some higher-multiplier options make for easy stackability. Here are some game stacks I want to build around this week:
Go get some overlay!