Thursday, Sep 12th

Sonic’s MME Pool 2.23

Sonic is a Milly Maker winner and large-field tournament mastermind who focuses on mass-multi-entry play

Flop Lag

Things should have gone a certain way in Week 1. Many things didn’t. Why? Humans. Humans are weird. We’re flawed. We’re inconsistent and unpredictable. 

The trick in navigating the 2nd week of any season is deciphering whether our offseason notions were better informed than our first true data point of the year. I’ll be carefully balancing my prior knowledge with the small sample of Week 1. Some of those games just didn’t fall in the fat part of the range of outcomes. 

Secondary Core-Relations

We’re always hunting for those high-ceiling combinations to add to our existing game stacks. It’s better to aim at getting four things right instead of trying to hit a nine-way parlay. I’ll lean on a handful of core secondary stacks that will be finessed into lineups whenever feasible.

Christian McCaffery/Puka Nacua 

We’re betting on Week One data here. If CMC is going to outsnap Eli Mitchell 58-10 in a blowout…holy shit. 

If Puka sees even 60% of the looks he got last week, he’s a smash at $4900. 

Both will be owned so if you’d like a more contrarian secondary stack, simply replace CMC with George Kittle or swap Puka out for Tutu Atwell.

Travis Kelce/Calvin Ridley

Unless we’re betting on a price-considered flop of a game, we’ll have to account for this game in our non-Chiefs/Jags builds. 

Both will be owned but the slate-breaking potential is undeniable. Given price and ownership, this pairing works best with the lower-owned and cheaper quarterback stacks. Daniel Jones, Baker Mayfield, and Sam Howell come to mind. 

Josh Jacobs/Gabe Davis (without Josh Allen)

What? If Gabe Davis has a ceiling game, wouldn’t he bring Josh Allen with him?

Gabe’s ownership projection has been rising all week due to an approximate 90% mention share among DFS touts. He’s gone from .5% to 5% in the last 48 hours. Stacking a popular Allen with a micro-owned, high-upside receiver makes way too much sense. Therefore, Gabe Davis’ rise is directly tied to his QB. If you play an Allen/Davis stack in the Milly, you’re going to be competing against roughly 11,000 rosters, which is fine. But how many rosters will have Davis and Jacobs without Josh Allen? Probably more like 700. Imagine the Bills/Raiders game going slightly under the total because Josh Jacobs was able to get things going on the ground. He racks up points on a couple of sustained touchdown drives in the first half. Josh Allen, playing from behind, has a good, but not great game with a couple of successful TD shots to Gabe Davis. This leaves the door wide open for someone other than Josh Allen to be the cost-considered best QB play on the slate. Sliding in a lower-owned, less expensive QB that still offers a decent ceiling, allows us to pay up a bit at another position and that could be enough to unlock a path to first place. 

Give me this pairing in some lineups that feature Trevor Lawrence, Joe Burrow, Anthony Richardson, or Jared Goff.

Lower-Owned Treasures

Running Back

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