Monday, Oct 27th
Bye Week:
Cardinals
Lions
Jaguars
Raiders
Rams
Seahawks

NFL Week 5 Betting “Dangerously”

Betting based on advanced Simulation Models.

Thanks for following along with the simulator experiment, where I take bets on any game that is more than 3.5 points off from Vegas odds, compared to what the model says the lines should be.

Source of my betting simulations -> https://paydirtdfs.com/?aff=Jonnydanger

YTD vs Spread 8-5-0 $200 starting budget

Current bankroll $280.80

Week 5 Bets (as of 10:30am 10/1 on DK)

MIA ML @ -120 $20 

MIN -4.5 @ -105 $20 

NYJ +2.5 @ -108 $20 

NYG +2.5 @ -118 $20 

parlay ^ @ +1173 $6 

Week 4 Bets

NO +15.5 @ -108 $20 win +$18.51

IND +3.5 @ -105 $20 loss

NYJ +2.5 @ -102 $20 loss

GB -7 @ -105 $20 loss

parlay ^ @ +1353 $6 loss

Week 3 Bets

MIA +12.5 @ -108 $20 win +$18.51

NYJ +7 @ -105 $20 win +$19.04

NE +1.5 @ -105 $20 loss

CHI +1.5 @ -118 $20 win +$16.94

parlay ^ @ +1256 $6 loss

Week 2 Bets

IND +1.5 @ -105 $20 win +$19.05

NE +2 @ -120 $20 win +$16.67

CAR +6.5 @ -108 $20 win +$18.52

parlay ^ @ +589 $9 win +$53.04

Week 1 Bets

WSH -6 @ -108 $20 win +$18.52

NO +6.5 @ -110 $20 loss

parlay ^ @ +267 $6 loss