Thursday, Oct 2nd
Monday, Oct 6th
Bye Week:
Steelers
Packers
Bears
Falcons

NFL Week 3 Betting “Dangerously”

Betting based on advanced Simulation Models.

Thanks for following along with the simulator experiment, where I take bets on any game that is more than 3.5 points off from Vegas odds, compared to what the model says the lines should be.

Source of my betting simulations -> https://paydirtdfs.com/?aff=Jonnydanger

YTD vs Spread 4-1-0 $200 budget

Starting bankroll $299.80

Week 3 Bets (as of 2 pm 9/17 on DK)

MIA +12.5 @ -108 $20

NYJ +7 @ -105 $20

NE +1.5 @ -105 $20

CHI +1.5 @ -118 $20

parlay ^ @ +1256 $6

Week 2 Bets

IND +1.5 @ -105 $20 win +$19.05

NE +2 @ -120 $20 win +$16.67

CAR +6.5 @ -108 $20 win +18.52

parlay ^ @ +589 $9 win +53.04

Week 1 Bets

WSH -6 @ -108 $20 win +18.52

NO +6.5 @ -110 $20 loss

parlay ^ @ +267 $6 loss