Hey everyone, welcome to Week 1! I’m super excited to be back, and I can already sense some big earnings coming our way this season! Week one is always unpredictable, but I’ve got a few hidden gems that could pay off if they perform well. We do not know who will get the most playtime or if they’ll be used like last season.
Plus, things could get interesting with all the new staff changes and some talented rookies ready to shine. As the weeks pass, we’ll start figuring out what to expect. Good luck to all!
Allen is coming in at a sub-10 % ownership, primarily due to the uncertainty of his receivers, but this seems like a no-brainer to me. He is an elite QB and should be able to dominate the Cardinals’ defense. Arizona was voted the worst front seven in 2023 and they sit in the same position in 2024. They had the second-worst pressure rate in the NFL last season and sacked the opposing quarterback just 33 times.
No one can be certain who Allen’s correct stack will be this early in the season, but he has had great chemistry with Khalil Shakir and Dalton Kincaid. Curtis Samuel is very intriguing to me; I foresee a lot of balls being thrown his way this season.
We only got a small sample of what Richardson could do prior to his injury, but there may be upside. Richardson will have to prove that he can be a reliable downfield passer and not just a quarterback with legs. With that said, this game carries the highest implied total (49) on the slate, and Richardson should be able to put up some points. I like him naked or stacked with Michael Pittman Jr. and Joe Mixon for the bringback.
Geno holds a special place in my heart because he helped me win that Milly back in 2022. It is players like this that can go off in good situations, and this game presents itself to me as a good situation. The Broncos front seven and secondary rank in the bottom at 31 and 28. The Seattle OL is not much better, but Pete Carroll is out, and Mike Macdonald and Ryan Grubb are in. This is going to be a refreshed and new Seattle team. Stack Geno with DK Metcalf or JSN.
Honestly, we really don’t know what version of Jones we’re going to see, but I have a feeling we might be onto something good. Last year, the offensive line didn’t do anyone any favors, and while they didn’t make huge strides this year, some new faces should help give Jones a bit more time in the pocket.
On the defensive side, the Vikings’ front seven is sitting at 25th, and even though they blitz more than anyone else in the league, they only managed to pressure opposing quarterbacks on about 21.9% of their dropbacks. Jones is coming off ACL surgery, but I believe Nabers is going to make a significant impact this season. Grabbing Jones at this price frees up some cash for players like Hill.
Miami has one of the best running back units in the league, headed by Achane. He was injured last season, but when he did play, he was explosive. There is way too much upside at this price to pass him up.
I’m a big fan of Mixon in Houston, and I believe he’ll fly under the radar with all the attention on the other receiving options. He’s not just a solid rusher; he’s also a fantastic pass catcher. He’ll blend into this offense well and might be a sneaky pick this week.
White is to remain the lead back in TB and will see a lot of work in week one. Washinton still ranks nearly last on defense, so attack them until they can prove otherwise. White, just like Mixon, is a dual-threat player who can rush and be a great pass catcher. His ownership will be up there, but he is too cheap not to get exposure.
I feel like I am on my own here, but Gus the Bus is a red-zone monster. He may be competing for touches with Dobbins, but he will have plenty of opportunities to punch the ball in, and TDs will equal points.
Hill is always a big threat to any secondary, but Jacksonville’s secondary ranks 26. I see this as a discount for Hill this week with the potential smash.
TB will be popular this week going against the horrific Washington defense, but I really like Evans at his lower ownership as a good leverage play. Evans has been in the 1,000-yard club for ten straight years, and rightfully so.
Metcalf is the WR1 and is way too cheap not to stack with Geno. This allows you to fill in other spots with smash players. JSN may also get some play here, but like I said before, Metcalf is still the top dog in Seattle, and I am not scared of him against Patrick Surtain.
Nabers is way too cheap to not jump on a stack with Jones. It is no secret that Nabers is the Giants’ secret weapon this season, and Minnesota’s defense can be exploited.
McBride is a top-tier TE and is always viable on any slate. He should see high usage like last season and help move the ball down the field.
Kincaid has a higher ceiling than both Pitts and Engram and they are coming in at a heavier ownership. Kincaid should be a solid stack with Allen.
Engram led the TEs in target share last season and will need to be involved in the passing game for Jacksonville to have a chance to keep up with Miami in this game. Jacksonville has some new additions, but the chemistry between Lawrence and Engram is already solid.
Bowers is going to be a huge weapon for this LV team, mark my words. They will be a run-heavy team with Antonio Pierce as HC, but Minshew is going to need someone other than Adams to get the ball to, and Bowers has the athletic ability to be a huge asset to the team. Take him while he is cheap at no ownership.
Denver has all kinds of things to prove, and they have a rookie quarterback in Bo Nix. Seattle has a good defense and should be able to keep Denver in check.
Cleveland has an elite defense, if not the best in the league. Dallas’s OL is not great, and I see Myles Garrett getting to Dak in this game.
The Raiders are not great and they have Minshew as QB. The Chargers lost Aaron Donald to retirement, but they have built up their line and should be able to get to Minshew.
The Panthers are a decent option if you need a cheap defense. The Saints have some holes in their OL and until the new additions can prove that they can protect Carr, I will take the opposing defense.
