Mike Johnson (MJohnson86) has racked up nearly $500,000 in DFS profit as an NFL tournament player with success in all styles of contests
Welcome back to my (Mjohnson86) Player Grid. The format will vary slightly from JM’s Player Grid, as we each see things slightly differently and play in slightly different contests, but should complement his thoughts and content very well for those looking to build their lineups for the week. The format of this article will likely evolve as the season progresses but should provide a lot of value. Enjoy!!
This is a list of players that stand out to me at each position from using my “Checking the Boxes” criteria outlined in my course you can find in our Marketplace. This list is a starting point, from which I build out lineups using game theory and roster construction concepts (which we will also touch on) with the mindset being to find the best plays with big ceilings. Low ownership is a bonus, but not a must. This section will focus primarily on three positions – running back, tight end, and defense – as the other two positions (quarterback and wide receiver) tend to have more dependent tendencies which I try to attack from other angles (which we will get into in the other sections). I like all of these plays on all sites unless otherwise noted:
Frankly, the price tag and projected ownership for Jacobs this week is a little insulting considering the run he’s been on of late and the matchup/situation he is in this week. 23 rushes and 5 targets per game the last three weeks and a matchup with a defense that has given up 28+ points in four straight games and just let Eno Benjamin score 23 DK points on only 16 touches. Fire him back up.
Don’t need to overthink this. Pollard has been one of the most efficient and explosive RBs in the league over the past couple of seasons on a per-touch basis. Ezekiel Elliott is out this week, leaving Pollard likely to touch the ball somewhere in the range of 18 to 25 times at home against a poor run defense that is playing on a short week.
Since returning from injury in Week 5, Kamara is averaging 18 rushes and 8 targets per game. That is elite volume for the seventh highest priced RB on the slate (9th on Fanduel). Kamara is playing in a dome in the game with the second highest over/under on the slate. He has touched the ball 101 times this season without a touchdown, something that is going to regress at some point – possibly in a huge way.
Henry has 26+ opportunities (carries + targets) in each of his last four games. The Texans have allowed 30+ Draftkings points to four running backs through six weeks. The biggest concern here would be a big Titans lead causing them to rest Henry, but he could easily have broken off a couple of long TD runs to help them get to that point. Henry has been close to breaking off long runs a few times in the last couple of weeks but was tripped up. An eruption is likely coming soon. If the current context wasn’t enough, here are Henry’s last three games against the Texans:: 211 yards, 3 TDs….212 yards, 2 TDs….250 yards, 2 TDs.