Kickoff Sunday, Nov 23rd 1:00pm Eastern

Jets (
15.25) at

Ravens (
29.25)

Over/Under 44.5

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Notes

Game Overview ::

By PAPY324 >>
  • The Ravens had several players miss practice on Wednesday. WR Rashod Bateman missed with an ankle, S Kyle Hamilton missed with a shoulder, TE Isaiah Likely missed with a calf, QB Lamar Jackson missed with an ankle, CB Keyon Martin missed with a rib, LB Roquan Smith missed with a hammy, T Ronnie Stanley missed with an illness, and OL Andrew Vorhees missed with a foot. That’s a long list, but not all of them are considered serious. 
  • The Jets are relatively healthy. DE Will McDonald missed with a quad, and DT Harrison Phillips missed with a foot. 
  • The Jets have given up on the season and would prefer to lose the rest of their games. 
  • The Ravens need this game as they are desperately trying to make up ground on the Steelers after a slow start. 
  • Tyrod Taylor will be under center for the Jets. The Jets were more aggressive in his limited work this season. 
  • Breece Hall is the feature back for the Jets, but this is a tough game environment. 
  • The Jets have the worst WR group in the NFL by a large margin. 
  • The Ravens are massive favorites, and all their player fantasy performances hinge on how badly they want to beat the Jets. 
  • Derrick Henry has all the elements for a smash, but his price saw a steep increase, and he has no passing game role. 
  • Lamar Jackson is affordable for his upside, but he might not have to do much to get a win. 

JM’S JOURNAL ::

Find JM’s Journal on Friday in The Scroll. If you are an Inner Circle member, you can read JM’s Journal on Thursday in Discord.

How NEW YORK Will Try To Win ::

They won’t. That’s the way all Jets write-ups are going to start the rest of this season because it’s true, but in fairness, losing right now is a good move for the organization. The 2-8 Jets come into Week 12 with their best possible outcome being to get the first overall pick. They traded away their best two defensive players (Sauce Gardner/Quinnen Williams) at the deadline and are currently stocked with draft capital. They have five first-round picks in the next two drafts and two second-rounders next year. That’s seven premium picks, and this team is going to look a lot different by 2028, but for now, they have the worst roster in football. Aaron “Hide and Seek” Glenn has decided to reveal his quarterback ahead of time this week. He announced that Taylor will be playing over Justin Fields. Hilariously, the organization said that they “couldn’t turn Fields into an RB” which is the best way to use him, so they decided to go with Taylor. There isn’t a big sample size of how they want to play with Taylor, so rather than cite their season-long numbers, it’s better to say they have played faster and have been more aggressive with Taylor under center. It’s nearly impossible to know if those trends will hold, but that’s how they have played in a small sample. 

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The Ravens’ defense has been hurt (22nd in DVOA) on the ground and beaten (21st in DVOA) through the air. Those are season-long numbers, and the Ravens defense was dealing with a ton of injuries early in the year. They’ve been better since Week 6, with no team scoring over 19 points against them in their last five games. Those games were against LAR // CHI // MIA // MIN // CLE, and while that’s not a murderer’s row of offenses, it’s also not weak competition, and besides Cleveland, all the other offenses are better than the Jets. This game will also be played at home, where the Ravens held the Rams and Bears to 17 and 16 points, respectively. There is a good chance that the Jets score 10 points or less, and it doesn’t help that their O-line has been a major disappointment (24th-ranked by PFF). The Jets haven’t wanted to throw (32nd in pass rate over expectation [PROE]), but it’s hard to rely on that number because almost all of it was compiled with Fields under center. There is a good chance the Jets will try and throw more with Taylor, but regardless of how they decide to attack, they are unlikely to find success. Expect the Jets to be more balanced, but to fall behind early and to become pass-heavy in the second half. 

How BALTIMORE Will Try To Win ::

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