Browns (

17) at
Ravens (

29.5)

Game Overview ::

By papy >>

• CB Denzel Ward was limited early in the week with a Shoulder/Achilles for the Browns
• CB Jaire Alexander was limited with a knee early in the week for the Ravens
• The Ravens are double-digit home favorites in a game they are expected to control
• Joe Flacco threw the ball 45 times in Week 1, and it’s likely he’ll throw over 40 times again in this one.
• All the Browns pass catchers are undervalued relative to their projected target volume.
• Harold Fannin is priced like a free square and was used all over the formation in Week 1, with many schemed looks going his way
• Dylan Sampson played under 50% of the snaps but was heavily used, especially in the passing game.
• Lamar Jackson only threw 19 times and still managed to hang 40 points on the Bills
• Derrick Henry never gives you much in the passing game, but he’s a favorite to break the slate in positive game scripts.
• Zay Flowers stood out as the Ravens clear top pass catcher
• Mark Andrews wasn’t used often in Week 1, but he was on the field a lot, and should be a factor in the rezone

How cleveland Will Try To Win ::

The 0-1 Browns come into Week 2 off a close home loss to the Bengals in the battle of Ohio. Closing as the highest total of the week, the Brown’s Week 1 matchup failed to live up to fantasy expectations. Despite the lackluster final score, the Browns dropped back 45 times, and it wasn’t because they were chasing points. The game was close, and the Browns boasted the 2nd highest situational neutral pass rate of the week. The Browns wanted to throw. It’s rare (like once-a-year rare) for an NFL team to have two TEs run 30 routes in the same game. We almost saw that from the Brown with David Njoku running 38 routes and Harold Fannin running 29 routes. Fannin was hard to project at the NFL level because he was a tweener TE. Kevin Stefanski seems to have figured out the best way to use him is in a variety of roles, keeping defense off balance with consistent two-TE personnel. He used Fannin as a “joker” giving him three snaps at full back, 29 inline snaps, 16 snaps out of the slot, and even one as a wildcat QB. Tweener indeed. A pass-first style makes sense for the Brown’s RB room as well, since Dylan Sampson is better in the passing game, and the Browns don’t seem to think much of Jerome Ford. Given their offensive limitations, Stefanski wasn’t keen on adding play volume. In a game that was close throughout, the Browns were 20th in seconds per play, which is likely the pace they’ll choose when not forced to speed up by game script.

The Browns O-line is a major issue. They rank near the bottom of the league (29th by PFF) and moved down two spots in those rankings after a poor performance in Week 1. They allowed a league-high 20 pressures on 48 drop-backs. That was good for the 31st-ranked pass blocking efficiency metric of the week. Keep in mind that it came against the Bengals highly suspect defense. RT Jack Conklin left the game and did not return after being poked in the eye, but it looks like he should be ok for Week 2. Stefanski doesn’t trust his running game and would rather let Joe Flacco chuck it around the yard. Expect the Browns to continue heavily using two TE packages, while also throwing at one of the highest rates in the league.

How baltimore Will Try To Win ::