Dummy Grid 14.23
JMToWin is a high-stakes tournament champion (Thunderdome, Luxury Box, Game Changer, Wildcat, King of the Hill/Beach, Spy, etc.) who focuses on the DraftKings Main Slate
OWS Fam ::
This is not a complete list of all the good plays on the slate
This is, instead, a look at the player pool I’ll be fishing
The Grid ::
Bottom-Up Build
:: covered in-depth in the Angles Pod (it’s highly recommended that you listen to the breakdown of the roster in order to see the thinking behind it, and in order to understand what we’re talking about when we look at a “bottom-up build”)
Blue Chips
:: my “Tier 1” plays: the plays I feel confident leaning into across different types of builds; these players have a high ceiling and a low likelihood of price-considered failure
Build-Arounds
:: games, offenses, situations, or scenarios I’ll be looking to build around across my rosters
Building Blocks
:: unique player pairings that can be used as foundational building blocks for tournament rosters
Bonuses
:: players who don’t fit into the categories above — either Upside pieces who don’t have the floor to be Blue Chips (and are not being focused on within my game-focused builds) or players who may not have a strong shot at ceiling, but are worth keeping in mind from a “role” perspective
Bottom-Up Build
Full breakdown (of what this is, and what the thinking is behind these players) can (and should) be found in the Angles Pod (on the One Week Season podcast feed).
Bottom-Up Build
DK Salary Remaining :: $6.0K
Josh Allen
Zack Moss
Javonte Williams
Gabe Davis
Cedric Tillman
Xavier Gipson
Isaiah Likely
Clyde Edwards-Helaire
Texans
Join The Bottom-Up Build Contest On DraftKings!
Buy-In:
Free
Rules:
Build with a salary cap of $44k or below!
Prizes:
1st Place = 250 Edge Points + Rare Blue Name Tag in Discord
2nd Place = 100 Edge Points
3rd Place = 75 Edge Points
4th Place = 50 Edge Points
5th Place = 25 Edge Points
*1 Edge Point = $1 in DFS courses on OWS
<< Join Here >>
*must use an OWS avatar (found on your profile page) to be eligible to win
Blue Chips
Zack Moss
Last week, I spent a lot of time highlighting the ways in which Zack Moss could fail, and the ways in which you could use this “potential for failure” to your advantage. While I also, of course, highlighted how he could succeed (and still played plenty of him myself), the fact that he was playing a top-two run defense was more than enough to make us think twice about jumping on board at such high ownership.
This week, however, the bullish case for Moss remains (he played 67/71 snaps last week and had every running back touch; in his games without JT, or with JT being eased back in, he has touch counts of 22 // 32 // 18 // 25 // 21), but now — instead of playing a top-two run defense — he’s playing a bottom-five run defense. Given how thin this slate is, and the floor/ceiling range Moss provides, I could end up with 100% Zack Moss this week.
“Light Blue” Chips
Build-Arounds
Building Blocks
“Once Again”
Fields + DJM
Story:
“Once again, Fields + DJM proves to be a strong connection.”
Why It Works:
Lately, this pairing has ranged from “not hurting you” to “being what was required to win a tourney.” Especially on a slate this thin, this type of range is wildly attractive.
How It Works:
This won’t be a totally unique stack, which means that rosters with this stack will still need to do something different elsewhere; but this stack does have a high enough ceiling to be “the piece you had to have,” which makes it a really nice starting point for any tournament build.
POTENTIAL DOWNSIDE:
The story plays out differently, and you don’t get first place — which is really all that matters.
Maybe This Way?
Bink Machine
A look at some of the rules I’ll be applying in the Bink Machine this week.
if london, evans
The Falcons have gone far out of their way lately to hide their QBs, and teams have been less scared to run on the Bucs of late. London will be popular this week, and he can post a nice game without seeing lots of volume, but in order to be a tourney-winner (a “had to have it” piece), he will almost certainly need the game environment to develop in such a way that the Falcons are forced to the air. We aren’t looking for “nice scores” when we build a roster. We are looking for “tourney winners,” which means that if you are rostering London, you are placing a bet on him being a tourney-winner…and if you are placing that bet, you should consider completing that bet by rostering the guy who would probably be instrumental in making London a tourney-winner.
“On 100% of London rosters, play both players from this pool.”
If Pittman, Chase or Mixon
Same thought process as the London play, above. Pittman can hit for 20ish points without game environment cooperating, but at his price tag, you want 30 to 35, and in order for him to do that, he’ll probably need a ton of volume. Pittman will likely need someone on the Bengals hitting in order to develop into a true tourney-winner.
“On 100% of Pittman rosters, play exactly TWO players from this pool.” (Pittman, plus one of the two Bengals)
If Keenan, Sutton or Javonte
Same as both rules above. Want to play Keenan? You probably want to bet on the scenario that would lead to him pushing for 17+ targets.
“On 100% of Keenan rosters, play exactly TWO players from this pool.” (Keenan, plus one of the two Chargers)
Bonuses
If Building For Single-Entry // Three-Entry Max
This is my narrowest pool, which means it’s the pool likeliest to change a bit as I move deeper into builds. If it changes throughout Saturday night, I’ll add an update in this space.
If I were building for single-entry // three-entry Max, my tightened-up player pool would be:
QB ::
Josh Allen || Fields || Browning
RB ::
A Wrap ::
I’ll see you at the top of the leaderboards this weekend!
-JM
