Just love this spot for Daniels, and I will love it even more if Brian Robinson Jr. is ruled out. His floor is 16 points, but his ceiling is 30+.
This game has all the elements of a potential shootout. The Texans defense is banged up, and Josh Jacobs has been underwhelming all season. The offense runs through Love, and he has been a TD machine.
If his OL gives him time to throw, he should be able to carve up a Lions secondary that plays the sixth-most man coverage in the league.
People are acting like he’s terrible—and he might be in real life—but in fantasy all he needs is 60 rushing yards and a rushing TD to be a shoo-in for 22+ points.
Seattle has been a pass-first team for most of the season, and this game has blow-up potential. This feels like another 260 and 2 TD game from him.
Have you seen the Raiders run defense? They are giving up 5.20 YPC. To that end, 20 Williams rushes should easily be 110 yards with a chance for a TD plus receiving yards. If Cooper Kupp returns, it will open up the offense for him even more.
Jim Harbaugh is going to run the ball at least 35 times against Arizona and even if Vidal gets more touches—and he will—that should mean Dobbins gets 20+ and a TD.
Buffalo’s run defense has been gashed multiple times this season. Enter Pollard, who should see 20+ carries with Spears likely sidelined. Feels like a lock for 80+ yards and a TD.
Seattle has turned into a pass-first offense under new OC Ryan Grubb, but they also need to make sure that Walker is heavily involved to balance their attack. His 15 receiving targets in the past two weeks make him even more valuable.
Commanders DL Jonathan Allen is out for the season, and without him, the Panthers should find more success running the ball. Hubbard had had anywhere from 17-26 touches in the past four games so his getting 20+ this week seems probable which should lead to 15-20 fantasy points.
The Lions like to play a lot of man coverage, which feeds right into the beast known as Justin Jefferson. This should be one of the highest-scoring games on the slate, and if the Vikings are going to continue their undefeated streak, Jefferson’s going to need to have a big game, and I think he will.
Because they blitz so much, the Vikings play a lot of coverage, leaving the middle open for receivers to take advantage of. St. Brown dominated the Vikings last season and this game feels like one of those weeks where he has 10 catches for over 100 yards and a touchdown.
Nobody plays more man coverage than the Cleveland Browns, which plays right into the Bengals’ strengths. Chase will likely see Denzel Ward leaving Tee Higgins one-on-one with Martin Emerson, which is a complete mismatch: Advantage Higgins and advantage to his fantasy managers.
By now, we’ve learned that it’s very difficult to run on the Buccaneers. We also know that Tampa plays the Tampa 2 zone defense. This coverage should allow Flowers to roam in the middle of the field and take advantage of the holes in the zone, where he can not only make some big catches but also get a bunch of YAC after the reception.
In boxing, they often say that styles make fights; in football, defensive coverage creates receiving mismatches. The Chargers play the most zone coverage in the league, and nobody feasts on that kind of defense as much as Michael Wilson does. There are certain weeks to start Wilson and there’s certain weeks to bench him and this is absolutely a week to start him.
The Chiefs have allowed the most receptions to opposing tight ends, and with some injuries in the backfield, it feels like Brock Purdy will need to count on Kittle more than ever. I like Kittle to have a big week and to find the end zone.
The Rams have allowed over 12 yards per target to opposing tight ends, which makes Bowers the ultimate no-brainer play of the weekend. Bowers will likely become the TE1 in all the fantasy football now that Davante Adams is with the Jets. It’s fair to expect him to have it double digit targets in most every remaining game this season.
We always think of how tough the Ravens defense is, but this year, they’ve led up the most receiving yards to opposing tight ends. Otton is on the field for almost all the snaps because he’s such a great blocker, and he should be open in the short passing game in case Baker Mayfield is dealing with a tough Ravens pass rush.
The Jaguars have been historically bad on defense this season, and as we’ve often said, rookie quarterbacks rely on tight ends as their security blankets. Henry will be used a lot in this game so don’t be afraid to put him in the lineup as I think there’s a good chance he can score a touchdown.
I expect Calcaterra to get the start, with Dallas Goedert struggling with a hamstring injury. The Giants have been very poor against opposing tight ends this season, allowing them to catch close to 84% of passes thrown. Calceterra is a better receiver than most people realize and could be a sneaky play in DFS lineups that are seeking value.
