Sunday, Feb 12th — Late
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Bills @ Bengals

DFS Showdown Strategy

By: xandamere


Outlook

The way this game is likeliest to play out is a shootout. Duh. But there are some question marks on both sides that could lead things to play differently.

Potential Scenarios
  • While the Bengals are an elite offense, the Bills D is one of the best in the NFL. It’s a strength-on-strength matchup and most people will be expecting the Bengals offense to win it . . . but what if they don’t? 
  • On the other side, the Bengals defense is average, but they’re at home, and the Bills offense has been a little shakier since Allen hurt his elbow. What if they struggle again here?
  • The point of the two above notes is that onslaught lineups are very viable here. We generally don’t see lots of 5-1 ownership in high total, close spread games, so it’s one way to easily differentiate. 
  • The other best way to differentiate that I’m seeing is simply to bet on the touchdowns coming on the ground. We have three elite receivers in this game (and some other good ones), and two great QBs, and ownership is going to concentrate on the passing games. What if it’s the running backs who find the end zone?
Cash Games

In cash games, my player pool consists of the quarterbacks, kickers, Hurst, and then Chase if I can afford one of the high-end skill position plays, with Cook as a reasonable mid-range option if needed. 

Tournaments

In tournaments, Chase is my favorite captain (and the best option, in my opinion), but I also want to be overweight on Davis and all of the running backs. 


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