Prich has won over $300k the past 3 years and has found an edge in understanding the field biases and more importantly his own biases when building rosters.
My Sunday mornings used to be filled with long cups of coffee before late morning brunch. If I was playing the slate I could sit and tinker with my lineups until “Inactives” were posted. Life was pretty sweet. It’s definitely sweeter now with two kids (three year old and three months old) but it does not lend itself to easy Sunday mornings. I usually have to get up before dawn to adjust lineups in response to the Saturday night Schefter tweets. What do your Sunday mornings require of you and what space do you find to make final adjustments?
This past Sunday I learned that Tee Higgins was out and that Andre Iosivas was drawing ownership as a cheap replacement. I had rostered zero shares of Higgins and hadn’t even considered Iosivas that week. I switched my main SE roster from Otton in the flex to Iosivas, looked it over, and caught myself. This was novelty bias tempting me to roster someone who had not been on my radar, thinking that the upside had to be greater for a cheap WR2 at lower ownership than for a second TE. The decision to roster Otton had been a big part of my process that week. He was my only TB pass catcher for good reason. What would compel a good DFS player like myself to second guess my research on a Sunday morning? That is how bias works, and if we are not careful, it can upend a week full of good decision making.
DFS is ultimately a series of decisions and we confront bias at several points in our journey toward setting our lineups for the week. The less time we have for those decisions, the more likely we are to be influenced by bias, and that’s what makes your analysis of your typical Sunday morning an important consideration in your continued battle to recognize the bias in your life. The more time you have to process the late injuries or other information, the easier it is to make a sound decision, but if your Sundays are swamped with family or church or something else, you need to have a plan.
