Thursday, Oct 2nd
Monday, Oct 6th
Bye Week:
Steelers
Packers
Bears
Falcons

Betting “Dangerously” NFL Week 4

Betting based on advanced Simulation Models.

Thanks for following along with the simulator experiment, where I take bets on any game that is more than 3.5 points off from Vegas odds, compared to what the model says the lines should be.

Source of my betting simulations -> https://paydirtdfs.com/?aff=Jonnydanger

YTD vs Spread 7-2-0 $200 starting budget

Current bankroll $328.29

Week 4 Bets (as of 8:30pm 9/24 on DK)

NO +15.5 @ -108 $20

IND +3.5 @ -105 $20

NYJ +2.5 @ -102 $20

GB -7 @ -105 $20

parlay ^ @ +1353 $6

Week 3 Bets

MIA +12.5 @ -108 $20 win +$18.51

NYJ +7 @ -105 $20 win +$19.04

NE +1.5 @ -105 $20 loss

CHI +1.5 @ -118 $20 win +$16.94

parlay ^ @ +1256 $6 loss

Week 2 Bets

IND +1.5 @ -105 $20 win +$19.05

NE +2 @ -120 $20 win +$16.67

CAR +6.5 @ -108 $20 win +$18.52

parlay ^ @ +589 $9 win +$53.04

Week 1 Bets

WSH -6 @ -108 $20 win +$18.52

NO +6.5 @ -110 $20 loss

parlay ^ @ +267 $6 loss