Betting based on advanced Simulation Models.
Thanks for following along with the simulator experiment, where I take bets on any game that is more than 3.5 points off from Vegas odds, compared to what the model says the lines should be.
Source of my betting simulations -> https://paydirtdfs.com/?aff=Jonnydanger
YTD vs Spread 7-2-0 $200 starting budget
Current bankroll $328.29
Week 4 Bets (as of 8:30pm 9/24 on DK)
NO +15.5 @ -108 $20
IND +3.5 @ -105 $20
NYJ +2.5 @ -102 $20
GB -7 @ -105 $20
parlay ^ @ +1353 $6
Week 3 Bets
MIA +12.5 @ -108 $20 win +$18.51
NE +1.5 @ -105 $20 loss
CHI +1.5 @ -118 $20 win +$16.94
parlay ^ @ +1256 $6 loss
Week 2 Bets
IND +1.5 @ -105 $20 win +$19.05
CAR +6.5 @ -108 $20 win +$18.52
parlay ^ @ +589 $9 win +$53.04
Week 1 Bets
WSH -6 @ -108 $20 win +$18.52
NO +6.5 @ -110 $20 loss
parlay ^ @ +267 $6 loss