Thursday, Dec 5th
Bye Week:
Colts
Broncos
Patriots
Commanders
Ravens
Texans

AFC South Over/Under Valued Players 2024

Houston Texans:

Undervalued: QB C.J. Stroud (5)

Am I missing something with him going this late? Stroud was absolutely phenomenal last year, and now he has another great weapon in Stefon Diggs. Moreover, Tank Dell is back and healthy again, and he and Stroud connected numerous times last season. I’m going to let other people take Josh Allen and Jalen Hurts in round three; I’ll be all over CJ Stroud in Round five or six.

Overvalued: TE Dalton Schultz (12)

Remember the name Cade Stover. He was Stroud’s tight end back at Ohio State, and the team drafted him this year, especially because they knew about his excellent rapport with Stroud. If you’re drafting Schultz thinking you are trying to replicate last year’s numbers, you might be severely disappointed.

Jacksonville Jaguars:

Undervalued: TE Evan Engram (6)

Based on targets alone, Engram should be one of the top three tight ends off the board. He is Trevor Lawrence’s go-to guy, and he is absolutely solid as a rock. Round 6 is a strange round because there are so many different ways to go. You can take your RB2, WR3, or TE1. Engram is an excellent option here for those fantasy managers who like taking an early tight end.

Overvalued: WR Brian Thomas (9)

I’m a big fan of Thomas and think that there’s quite a bit of upside with him long-term. However, I wonder whether he’s ready to put it all together this season. Round 9 is where I want to be taking my quarterback, and Thomas just doesn’t fit into my draft plan. Christian Kirk and Evan Engram are much better values because they are consistent producers, whereas Thomas is going to struggle on occasions, and that scares me at this point in the draft.

Indianapolis Colts:

Undervalued: WR Josh Downs (12)

The more I read about the relationship between Anthony Richardson and Josh Downs, the more excited I am about drafting him. This is his second year in the offense, and it seems like he has a good handle on what Steichen wants. He was a superior receiver back in college, and I think he could be excellent in the slot as a security blanket for Richardson.

Overvalued: WR Adonai Mitchell (13)

If I’m playing in a dynasty league or best ball format I like Mitchell’s immense upside. However, in a redraft league, I worry that he’s limited in what he’s able to do. I think I’d rather have a backup running back in Round 13 than take a flyer on a speed receiver on a team that is not pass-heavy.

Tennessee Titans:

Undervalued: QB Will Levis (15)

The Titans brought in former Bengals offensive coordinator Brian Callahan to be their new head coach this past offseason. Callahan is an inventive mind who has a pass-first philosophy. Levis is supremely underrated as a quarterback, and there are some experts who think if he were in this year’s draft class, he might have been the third quarterback taken off the board. With the weapons now on the Titans offense, Levis is well worth the gamble as a second quarterback in any fantasy league.

Overvalued: RBs Tony Pollard/Tyjae Spears (8)

The reason why both players are overvalued is that I expect a 50/50 split in touches. If you take Pollard, there will be games in which Spears outperforms him. If you take Spears, there will be games where Pollard outperforms him. Why deal with that kind of anxiety each week when you can just find a player who you know is going to get 15 to 20 touches?