NFL Sleepers often refer to rookies. Let’s face it, a player who’s been in the league for a while is a known commodity that isn’t sneaking up on anybody. After a few years in the league, a player tends to be what their stat sheet says they are. Former HC Bill Parcells once said that you are what your record says you are. He was referring to a team’s record, but the same often holds for players.
MLB manager Terry Francona said something similar. When discussing a veteran’s slow start to a season, he would often say, Just turn over their baseball card to see where their numbers will be at the end of the season.
WR Dyami Brown, Jacksonville Jaguars
While this is often true, circumstances can alter a player’s outlook for better or worse. This is the case for a WR acquired by the Jacksonville Jaguars this offseason. Dyami Brown is now entering his fifth season in the NFL, and his career thus far has been anything but stellar.
The Commanders drafted the 26-year-old WR in the third round. And if it wasn’t for his “career” season last year, he may not even still be in the league. In his first three seasons, he only caught 29 passes. Last season, he caught 30. And aside from that dramatic increase, his catch% % was very solid. He ended the year catching 75% of the passes thrown to him. While he only averaged a little over 10 yards per catch, it was a respectable season, which was enough to land him in Jacksonville.
Trevor Lawrence desperately needs targets. Last season, Brian Thomas was his only serious threat. Aside from Thomas, the team drafted WR/CB Travis Hunter in this year’s draft. He should also get a ton of targets from Lawrence, but he is a rookie and will most likely be splitting time on both sides of the ball.
This should create a sweet spot for Brown in this offense. Most of the attention will be focused on Thomas and Hunter, leaving Brown with single coverage. In many ways, this is a do-or-die season for Lawrence, and he’ll need to involve as many of his weapons as possible. Look for Brown’s targets to double from last year’s 40, with him catching 50-60 passes, gaining between 600-750 yds. He’s had four career TDs; he will eclipse that mark this season.