Porting DFS Strategies to Best Ball
As we’ve discussed recently on numerous pods, best ball is more a game of managing variance than it is knowing football. Within the commonly misunderstood term “variance” is hidden the weightier idea of information. This information guides our decision-making processes throughout the best ball draft season, within each confined “draft window,” and during individual drafts. It is our goal as seasoned best ball drafters to best match the available information to the timing of our drafts, yielding a fluid draft strategy that changes as we inch closer to Thursday Night Football in Week 1. Which brings us to the question at hand – how do we manipulate variance to best leverage common tendencies from the field in each distinct draft window? Since we’re talking about playoff-style contests like those present on Underdog and DraftKings, let’s first look at some common ways to manipulate variance in DFS as we know the bulk of the expected value (EV) in playoff-style contests comes from those all-too-meaningful playoff weeks.
