Sunday, Feb 8th — Late
Bye Week:
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Bengals
Bills
Broncos
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Buccaneers
Cardinals
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Colts
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Cowboys
Dolphins
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The Scroll Week 11

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    The Fallout

    A quick-hit recap of what really mattered from Thursday through Sunday. We skip the obvious studs and instead focus on usage trends, injuries, and key shifts that actually impact your lineup decisions.

    Welcome to the Monday edition of the Daily Dose newsletter, our “Fantasy Fallout” day. In this article, you will get a quick rundown of the relevant things we learned from the week’s games from Thursday through Sunday. 

    We won’t talk about every single player and we usually won’t spend time on studs who go nuts (no one needs to be told to start Jonathan Taylor right now!), but rather, the idea is to update you on usage trends, injuries, and other relevant things to help your decisions with your teams for the coming week and beyond.

    RAIDERS @ BRONCOS

    • The Broncos won an ugly 10-7 TNF game that turned on a blocked punt that they recovered in the red zone. They proceeded to lose two yards and kick the go-ahead field goal at the end of the third quarter.
    • Bo Nix passed for an underwhelming 150-1-2 line. He threw nearly half of his 28 pass attempts to top WRs Troy Franklin (5-40-1) and Courtland Sutton (3-24).
    • J.K. Dobbins handled 19 touches for 84 scrimmage yards with RJ Harvey (six touches, 18 yards) handling his change-of-pace role.
    • Ashton Jeanty had a 60-1 rushing line and saw five targets, the second most on the team. The rookie rusher maintains one of the best RB roles in the league.
    • Veteran Tyler Lockett paced the Jakobi Meyers-less Raiders in all receiving categories with six targets, catching five passes for 44 yards. Brock Bowers received just three targets, catching one ball for 31 yards. Bowers and Jeanty are the only usable Raiders in most fantasy formats for now.

    COLTS @ FALCONS

    • Jonathan Taylor’s massive day in the Colts’ OT victory in Germany masked another iffy Daniel Jones performance. While Dimes connected well with Tyler Warren (8-99) and Alec Pierce (4-84-1), he took seven sacks, threw a pick, and fumbled three times, losing one. Michael Pittman Jr. and Josh Downs saw just two targets each, combining for three catches for 22 yards. 
    • The Colts have a Week 11 bye and head to Kansas City in Week 12.
    • Michael Penix Jr. only completed 12 passes, with half of them going to Drake London, including his only passing TD. Tyler Allgeier (11-57-2) scored the rushing TDs this week and has some Flex appeal in good Atlanta matchups. Otherwise London and Bijan are the only reliable Falcons options for now.

    RAVENS @ VIKINGS

    • Baltimore won a somewhat “ugly” game as Minnesota turned the ball over three times and the Ravens were inefficient in the red zone, settling for three field goals of under 30 yards.
    • Aaron Jones took control of the backfield as he had 15 opportunities compared to only five for Jordan Mason. The Vikings fell to 4-5 on the season and have two games coming up against division rivals. We should expect Jones to be the featured back going forward as Minnesota fights for its season and Jones could be a great trade target for fantasy teams looking to make a playoff push. 
    • The Ravens offense spreads things out so much that only Lamar Jackson, Zay Flowers, and Derrick Henry are strong fantasy starters at the moment.
    • J.J. McCarthy continues to underwhelm as a passer and struggles with accuracy and holding the ball too long (which is common for young QBs). For the time being, Jordan Addison is a risky start and expectations for Justin Jefferson should be tempered.

    BROWNS @ JETS

    • Jerry Jeudy had his best game of the season against the skeleton-crew Jets secondary and remained the WR1 despite the return of Cedric Tillman. He has some solid matchups coming up and can be a borderline Flex option most weeks.
    • Browns RB Quinshon Judkins dominated the backfield with 25 opportunities that he turned into 85 scoreless yards. He is a locked-in weekly starter but does carry game-script risk, considering if the Browns fall behind he could put up a dud.
    • Jets RB Breece Hall had a huge game in a tough on-paper matchup and showed that he should be started every week.
    • Jets WR Garrett Wilson did not catch a pass in his return from injury. This was caused by the Jets only attempting 11 passes all game thanks to two early D/ST touchdowns that let them control the game script.

    GIANTS @ BEARS

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    Waiver Targets

    Your weekly roadmap to the wire. Each Tuesday, Tony Kneepkens highlights the top adds across positions — complete with FAAB recommendations and context to help you prioritize based on your league size and format.

    These are the top players to consider adding from waivers this week. Unless otherwise noted, all players below are available in greater than 50% of Yahoo leagues (as of Sunday evening). Priorities and FAAB recommendations are meant to differentiate between some of the options available and are assuming 12-team, single-QB, fantasy formats.

    Week 11 teams on bye: Colts, Saints

    Week 11 offers some relief from the relentless recent stretch of byes. While we will miss a bunch of excellent Colts options, we will not miss the Saints this week for fantasy purposes. There are some solid waiver options available this week, and while I don’t have any true high-priority recommendations, I like a player each at RB, WR, and TE as “medium-high” waiver targets, and I’ve listed several lower-priority options to consider to stash or spot start as well.

    QB Pickups

    Marcus Mariota, WAS, Week 11 “at MIA” (In Spain)
    • Fantasy managers aren’t likely to be turning to the waiver wire this week with only one fantasy-relevant QB on bye, but in the off chance you are, Mariota is the best of the widely available bunch, for me, based on his rushing upside.
    • Low-priority add. Just a spot-start option against a generous Miami defense before the Commanders have a Week 12 bye.
    • 3% or less of FAAB.
    Other QB spot-start options ::
    • Tua Tagovailoa (MIA) – I considered listing Tua ahead of Mariota in that same game in Europe. The Dolphins team speed should be on display against the league’s oldest team.
    • Aaron Rodgers (PIT) – Goes from a brutal matchup on the road against the Chargers defense last week to a home game against the generous Bengals defense this week.

    RB Pickups

    Blake Corum, LAR, Week 11 vs SEA
    • Corum nearly split the Rams RB work evenly with Kyren Williams last week, handling 13 touches to Williams’ 16. Corum and Williams remain the only RBs to handle a carry or receive a target this season for a 7-2 Rams team with aspirations of a deep playoff run.
    • Medium-to-high priority add. Corum was dropped to too many waiver wires after his own Week 8 bye and a couple more tough weeks of byes to follow. Corum’s value is still more about his contingent upside rather than that of an immediate starting option, but he’s got a legitimate role in a strong offense. He would be in must-start territory if Kyren were to miss a game down the stretch.
    • 20 – 40% of FAAB.
    Sean Tucker, TB, Week 11 at BUF
    • Tucker out-rushed Rachaad White (53-38) on one less carry last week and lost two yards on his only catch. Second-year back Bucky Irving “remains without a timetable to return” from his shoulder injury, allowing White and Tucker to continue fighting for valuable RB opportunities on an exciting Tampa Bay offense in his absence.
    • Low-to-medium priority add. Based on the comments about Bucky, I’m not expecting him back this week. I think White’s role is safe as a good NFL pass-catching back, but I think the door is open for Tucker to handle a slight majority of RB carries in a good matchup with a generous Bills run defense and in a game with a solid 49.0-point implied point total.
    • 5 – 15% of FAAB.
    Tyjae Spears, TEN, Week 11 vs HOU
    • Spears had been playing to a near-even split with veteran Tony Pollard before the Titans’ Week 10 bye, generally handling slightly fewer total touches but more of the pass-game work in his handful of games since returning from a high-ankle sprain suffered in the preseason.
    • Low-to-medium priority add. Spears is a reasonable PPR Flex option this week if that’s what you’re looking for. He’s a player I’d love to see have his role expand into the second half of the season, but the fact that the Titans held onto Pollard through the trade deadline admittedly hurts those chances.
    • 5 – 15% of FAAB.
    Some additional lower-priority RBs to consider ::
    • Brian Robinson Jr. (SF) – Has scored in back to back games and remains one of the top handcuff RBs in the league.
    • Tyler Allgeier (ATL) – Scored twice last week, another elite handcuff to stash.
    • Emari Demercado (AZ) – Topped 100 scrimmage yards on his seven touches last week. He’s my favorite Cardinals’ RB option this week home against the 49ers if second-year back Trey Benson misses another game.

    WR Pickups

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    Streaming Sleepers

    Each week, Juan Carlos Blanco spotlights 4–5 under-the-radar plays who combine DFS tournament upside with season-long streaming value. These matchup-driven picks are usually available in most leagues.

    Each week, Streaming Sleepers will highlight at least five non-QB skill-position players and one team defense that currently have start or roster rates of 20% or less in season-long leagues but may be prudent options this week due to matchups and other circumstances, particularly in deeper formats. 

    Additionally, the plays suggested here could be viable DFS large-field tournament options for the coming slate and are likely to carry modest ownership rates in that format as well.

    Christian Watson, GB at NYG – 11% start rate

    Watson is back for a third consecutive week, as he not only looks like he’s on the verge of upping his production exponentially, but he may have just the right circumstances for it this week. The speedy wideout is being targeted down the field consistently by Jordan Love, and although the latter turned in a mostly forgettable performance in the Week 10 loss to the Eagles, he did connect with Watson for completions of 23 and 25 yards.

    That’s been a common occurrence since Watson made his delayed season debut three games ago, as Watson has averaged 23.5 yards per reception on his eight catches to date, and five of those grabs have gone for 20+ yards. Watson has four targets apiece in each contest, but this week, he may be looking at a boost in volume due to the possibility at least one of Matthew Golden (shoulder) or Romeo Doubs (chest) is sidelined alongside Tucker Kraft (IR, knee).

    Cade Otton, TB at BUF – 19% start rate

    Otton is the first of three total Buccaneers we’re mentioning this week. The fourth-year tight end has been thrust into a larger role for several weeks thanks to the ongoing absences of Mike Evans (IR, collarbone/concussion) and Chris Godwin (fibula), and that could remain the case in this interconference matchup after Otton posted a combined 29-319-0 tally on 37 targets in the last five games.

    Otton is averaging an impressive 2.85 yards per route run in the aforementioned sample, and he’s seen at least five targets in each of those contests. The Bills’ thoroughly uninspired offensive performance in Week 10 against the Dolphins notwithstanding, Tampa Bay will go into this matchup knowing it will have to maintain a certain level of aerial aggression despite Buffalo’s issues stopping the run; in such a scenario, Otton could well be a beneficiary. 

    Tez Johnson, TB at BUF – 11% start rate 

    Johnson is also in play for the same reason cited at the end of Otton’s entry, not to mention the rookie wideout’s recent body of work. Johnson got into the end zone two more times in the Week 10 loss to the Patriots, doubling his season/career TD total in the process. The rookie seventh-round pick has an 18-247-4 line on 27 targets in the last five games, averaging 2.31 yards per route run while also logging four looks in the red zone. 

    The Bills have been tough on wide receivers overall, but they’re still surrendering 13.1 yards per catch to the position. Johnson has an elevated 11.4-yard aDOT and has been targeted on 25.2% of his routes in the aforementioned five-game sample, and with Godwin likely out again this week, the ascending pass catcher is in play.

    Colston Loveland, CHI at MIN – 18% start rate 

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    TNF Showdown

    Xandamere breaks down the Thursday Night Football matchup with leverage angles and roster construction tips — the perfect way for fantasy players to start learning DFS through Showdown.

    XANDAMERE’S SHOWDOWN SLANT

    Week 11 kicks off with the Jets visiting the Patriots for a 43.5 total game in which New England is favored by a massive 13.5 points. This feels not unreasonable, frankly, as the Patriots are 8-2 with Drake Maye playing at a near-MVP level, while the Jets are 2-7, just traded two defensive starters, and now Garrett Wilson is hurt again. Oh, and the Jets haven’t named their starting quarterback. Yikes.

    NEW ENGLAND

    On the Pats side, Rhamondre Stevenson returned to practice this week and is currently listed as questionable, which would throw the backfield into some confusion if he plays. It’s unclear if he will. Terell Jennings is also questionable, and the Pats signed Jonathan Ward to their practice squad, which seems to imply that at least one of these guys misses. TreVeyon Henderson has played incredibly well in Rhamondre’s absence, racking up over 200 scrimmage yards in the last two weeks despite tough matchups while playing 75% and 84% of the offensive snaps, which are the top two most snaps played by any Patriots RB this season. He’s clearly built some trust, and he’s clearly better than Rhamondre, so it seems likely to me that even if Stevenson returns, he takes a back seat to Henderson at this point in the season. But that could be wrong, as Rhamondre has been pretty bad all year, and the Pats still left him in the lead back role until he got hurt. And even if it’s right, Rhamondre could still soak up more RB2 work than Jennings has in the last couple of weeks. If Rhamondre is out, Henderson looks like a total smash play as a huge home favorite who also has some passing game chops. If Rhamondre is in, Henderson is still viable, just riskier. Rhamondre himself is basically unplayable as anything except a highly contrarian GPP dart throw (unless we get some word from beat reporters that gives us clarity as to his role), while Jennings would be playable as an RB2 if he’s active and Rhamondre is out.

    Showdown Ownership Projections!

    Ownership updates automatically

    In the passing game, Drake Maye has been incredible, but it’s been tough to predict who he brings along with him in a given game. Maye will be the highest owned player in this one, and he deserves to be, but then things get tricky. Stef Diggs is still highly talented, but he’s priced at $9,800, like a WR1 despite only running a route on 71% of Maye’s dropbacks and has just a 22% target share, far below where most ~$10k WRs in Showdown land. Kayshon Boutte returned to a limited practice, and if he plays, it throws more chaos into the Pats WR situation. Boutte is also talented and has 5 touchdowns on the season, but just a 12.5% target share. At $8k, that’s a tough spot to play. Mack Hollins is playing a ton of snaps but has generally not been a major target earner in his NFL career, though in the Pats last three games, he has target counts of 7, 2, and 10; but, in their first seven games, he was averaging exactly 2 targets per game before this surge. Demario Douglas had a huge game in Week 9 with a 4/100/1 line, but on just 24% of the snaps, and then he predictably disappeared again last week with 2 targets. Kyle Williams saw his snaps surge last week to a season-high 56% and caught a 72-yard touchdown, but on just 2 targets. This group has a near-Bills-like level of unpredictability. How I see it is that Diggs is the safest option, and while he’s overpriced, he’s at least consistently earning targets while on the field. My next favorite is probably Hollins, as he has a solid combination of volume and price. Boutte and Douglas are both significantly overpriced, while Williams is playable as a dart throw.

    DISCORD

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    At tight end, Hunter Henry started off the season pretty hot but hasn’t reached double-digit DK points since all the way back in Week 4. There are just so many other pass catchers available on this offense! Since his huge Week 3 against the Steelers, Henry is averaging only about 4 targets per game, but at least the price is solid. At $5,400, he’s priced around Hollins, and I would lean Henry over Hollins (especially with TE2 Austin Hooper almost certain to miss with a concussion). Jack Westover will take over TE2 duties, but he’s been a blocker so far and doesn’t have a target yet on the year – he’s a desperation punt. This pass catching corps is hard to figure out, and it’s not helped by the fact that the Pats have been averaging under 30 pass attempts per game. Diggs, Henry, and then Hollins are my favorites overall (though Hollins loses the most if Boutte returns, I think), while everyone else is in dart-throw territory.

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    Fantasy Q&A

    Each Friday, Mike Johnson tackles lineup and trade dilemmas pulled from the OWS X and our Fantasy Football Discord channel. Real questions, real context, and actionable advice to guide you through the toughest calls of the week.

    Some things in fantasy football are easy. We know we should start Puka Nacua and Bijan Robinson. We know we should bench the backup running back who is only on our roster in case of injury and the guy who was ruled out early in the week. A lot of the decisions are made for us. However, there are a lot of things that are not so simple. All of the “in between” situations are what can make the difference between a few wins and losses, and therefore it can be the difference between a successful season or a failed season. Every Friday, we are here to help!!

    I’ll take questions each week in our #fantasy-football channel in our Discord from people looking for Start/Sit advice and give my thoughts. This article will feature a few of those questions and responses each Friday, so join our Discord to be a part of the conversation or ask questions of your own!!

    Question 1 :: Start 2 of these 3: Oronde Gadsden, Jake Ferguson, and Jauan Jennings? (0.5 PPR) (emtebr44)

    Answer :: Assuming Gadsden is cleared from his quad injury, my answer here is Gadsden and Jennings. The 49ers have a good matchup against Arizona and Jennings looked the healthiest he has all season last week. He is the clear first choice from this group for me. Then we are left with the tight ends and I slightly prefer Gadsden, who has more competition but less elite competition. Ferguson plays an underrated Raiders defense and has been largely dependent on reception volume for his production this season. With George Pickens and CeeDee Lamb both on the field, that will be hard to come by, which leaves him relying on touchdowns since he isn’t really a big-play threat. Gadsden, however, does have big-play ability and matches up well against Jacksonville, so I prefer him slightly.

    Question 2 :: Start 3, PPR: TreVeyon Henderson, Rico Dowdle, Chase Brown, or Woody Marks? (Dreward27)

    Answer :: This is a good problem to have. Henderson already played on Thursday (and yes, I answered this user before then!!), but he was a lock. Among the other three, Dowdle is also a lock in a matchup against a Falcons defense that is most susceptible to the run. Last week, Carolina’s offense fell apart and Dowdle still managed a respectable stat line. Lock him in. As for the last spot, I am all aboard the Woody Marks second-half hype train, but you have to go with Chase Brown in this spot with Samaje Perine likely to miss this game. The Bengals don’t really have any other RBs they trust and this is a huge game, so Brown is likely to play close to 90% of the snaps.

    Question 3 :: Pick 2 Flex, PPR: Parker Washington, Cade Otton, Rachaad White, Michael Wilson, Harold Fannin Jr. or Cedric Tillman?  (JesusPiece)

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    Rankings

    Every Saturday, MJohnson86 posts full positional rankings (QB, RB, WR, TE, DEF) to get you ready for Sunday’s slate. Built for 12-team, full-PPR formats — with insights that translate across most league settings.

    The weekend is here and it’s time to get our lineups set before Sunday’s full slate of games. Each week, the Saturday edition of the Daily Dose will feature my rankings for all players who have yet to play a game this week. Obviously this will not include the Thursday games, but always feel free to hit me up in Discord or on X/Twitter if you have some tough decisions around guys who play on Thursday. 

    Most of the leagues I play in are full-PPR, 12-team leagues and these rankings are designed for those settings – you may need to make some slight adjustments based on your own league settings.

    QB :: 

    1. Josh Allen
    2. Lamar Jackson
    3. Patrick Mahomes
    4. Jalen Hurts
    5. Dak Prescott
    6. Justin Herbert
    7. Matthew Stafford
    8. Brock Purdy
    9. J.J. McCarthy
    10. Bo Nix
    11. Caleb Williams
    12. Aaron Rodgers
    13. Joe Flacco
    14. Baker Mayfield
    15. Jacoby Brissett
    16. Jordan Love
    17. Sam Darnold
    18. Jared Goff
    19. Trevor Lawrence
    20. Davis Mills
    21. Tua Tagovailoa
    22. Jameis Winston
    23. Michael Penix Jr.
    24. Bryce Young

    RB ::

    1. Christian McCaffrey
    2. Bijan Robinson
    3. De’Von Achane
    4. Saquon Barkley
    5. Jahmyr Gibbs
    6. Josh Jacobs
    7. Ashton Jeanty
    8. Rico Dowdle
    9. Jaylen Warren
    10. Javonte Williams
    11. James Cook III
    12. Chase Brown
    13. Aaron Jones Sr.
    14. Kimani Vidal
    15. Kyren Williams
    16. Derrick Henry
    17. D’Andre Swift
    18. RJ Harvey
    19. Travis Etienne Jr.
    20. Woody Marks
    21. Quinshon Judkins
    22. Tyrone Tracy Jr.
    23. Kenneth Walker III
    24. Emari Demercado
    25. Zach Charbonnet
    26. Kareem Hunt
    27. Rachaad White
    28. Sean Tucker
    29. David Montgomery
    30. Tony Pollard 
    31. Tyjae Spears
    32. Chris Rodriguez Jr.
    33. Tyler Allgeier
    34. Kyle Monangai
    35. Nick Chubb
    36. Blake Corum

    WR :: 

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    DFS Player Grid

    Mike Johnson (MJohnson86) has racked up over $500,000 in DFS profit as an NFL tournament player with success in all styles of contests.

    Welcome back to my (Mjohnson86) Player Grid. The format will vary slightly from JM’s Player Grid, as we each see things slightly differently and play in slightly different contests, but should complement his thoughts and content very well for those looking to build their lineups for the week. The format of this article will vary slightly from my Fanduel Player Grid, which will be more direct in terms of which players I like. Enjoy!!

    The Core ::

    This is a list of players that stand out to me at each position from using my â€śChecking the Boxes” criteria outlined in my course you can find in our Marketplace. This list is a starting point, from which I build out lineups using game theory and roster construction concepts (which we will also touch on) with the mindset being to find the best plays with big ceilings. Low ownership is a bonus, but not a must. This section will focus primarily on three positions – running back, tight end, and defense – as the other two positions (quarterback and wide receiver) tend to have more dependent tendencies which I try to attack from other angles (which we will get into in the other sections). I like all of these plays on all sites unless otherwise noted:

    Running Back ::
    • Christian McCaffrey – Not a lot to say here other than he is in an incredible spot and his skill set is a nightmare for the Cardinals defensive scheme.
    • Jaylen Warren – Warren is the feature back for the team facing the Bengals. If we just play that blindly every week, we are coming out ahead.
    • Rico Dowdle – Classic bounce-back spot for Dowdle as the Panthers physical downhill running game is the kryptonite for the Falcons defense. 
    • Chase Brown – Last season Brown was dominant when he got the bell-cow role and barely left the field for the Bengals. This is a massive game for Cincinnati and Samaje Perine is out, so Brown is a near-lock for a 90% snap share and 20+ touches.
    • Aaron Jones Sr. – The Vikings are another team in desperate need of a victory this week in a key divisional matchup. The matchup is elite and Jones is clearly the lead back.
    • RJ Harvey – The explosive and dynamic Harvey is in position to potentially have his own “TreVeyon Henderson-like” breakout in a huge divisional game.
    • Woody Marks – Another rookie who appears to be on the verge of taking control of the backfield. Modest price tag and great on-paper matchup.

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