Papy’s Pieces 4.24

Papy is a full-time DFS player, with a focus on high-stakes tourneys, and with hundreds of thousands in lifetime profit

The Board

• This week has one stand-out game total in WAS /AZ (50.5). There isn’t another total above 48 on the rest of the slate.
• The next tier of games is CIN /CAR (47) and JAX /HOU (45.5). Amazingly, no other games were able to crack 44.
• The next tier down has three games: MIN/GB (43.5), PHL/TB (43), and NO/ATL (42). These games are barely distinguishable from the bottom tier.
• The lowest tier has six games which all have totals below 42: LAR /CHI (41), NE/SF (40.5), PIT/IND (40), KC/LAC (40), DEN/NYJ (39.5), CLE/LV (37).
• Half the slate are games with totals below 42, and only one game has a total above 48.

Pawn – WR Rome Odunze ($5,200)

Odunze is expensive for a typical pawn. Some cheaper options are Michael Wilson ($4,200), Darnell Mooney ($4,400), and Jonathan Mingo ($3,300) who were all considered for this spot. Odunze is worth a little extra. He has been a full-time player (over 95% of the snaps) the past two weeks and it led to an 11 target break out game. Keenan Allen has been nursing a heel injury and it’s tough to know if he’ll play but I’m not sure it matters. The Bears drafted Odunze with a high first round pick and he looks like he can play. They have no reason to take him off the field. His price came up $1,000 after his big game but it didn’t come up enough. The Rams have been generous (29^th in passing yards allowed per game) to opposing air attacks, and Odunze will have another great opportunity to hit. Play him now before he’s $7,000.

Knight – RB Zach Moss ($5,900)